Live prediction market odds for Bitcoin best month in 2026. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Compare all 4 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give August about a 91.7% chance. December follows at 5.9% and November follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
The best month is determined by the highest closing price of Bitcoin in any month during 2026. Market participants analyze price trends and external factors that could influence Bitcoin's value.
Odds fluctuate based on trading volume, investor sentiment, and significant news related to Bitcoin or the cryptocurrency market. As traders react to market developments, the odds reflect their expectations for Bitcoin's performance.
Trading for this market closes on January 1, 2027, marking the end of the evaluation period for Bitcoin's performance in 2026. After this date, the market will resolve based on the closing prices recorded in 2026.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are August: 91.9¢ on Polymarket, 91.4¢ on Predict.fun; December: 7.3¢ on Polymarket, 4.5¢ on Predict.fun; November: 2.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.7¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
