Live prediction market odds for BTC price on Aug 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-15
This market resolved on 2026-08-15. $52,500 or above was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the price of Bitcoin on August 15, 2026, at 5 PM EDT.
Kalshi is tracking the price of Bitcoin on August 15, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Market participants are closely monitoring this event due to the cryptocurrency's volatility and its potential impact on investment strategies and market sentiment leading up to that date.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
$52,500 or aboveWINNER | 99% |
$52,750 or above | 0% |
$53,000 or above | 0% |
$53,250 or above | 0% |
$53,500 or above | 0% |
$53,750 or above | 0% |
$54,000 or above | 0% |
$54,250 or above | 0% |
$54,500 or above | 0% |
$54,750 or above | 0% |
$55,000 or above | 0% |
$55,250 or above | 0% |
$55,500 or above | 99% |
$55,750 or above | 0% |
$56,000 or above | 0% |
$56,250 or above | 0% |
$56,500 or above | 0% |
$56,750 or above | 0% |
$57,000 or above | 0% |
$57,250 or above | 0% |
$57,500 or above | 0% |
$57,750 or above | 99% |
$58,000 or above | 0% |
$58,250 or above | 0% |
$58,500 or above | 0% |
$58,750 or above | 0% |
$59,000 or above | 0% |
$59,250 or above | 0% |
$59,500 or above | 0% |
$59,750 or above | 0% |
$60,000 or above | 0% |
$60,250 or above | 0% |
$60,500 or above | 0% |
$60,750 or above | 99% |
$61,000 or above | 99% |
$61,250 or above | 99% |
$61,500 or above | 98% |
$61,750 or above | 99% |
$62,000 or above | 99% |
$62,250 or above | 99% |
$62,500 or above | 99% |
$62,750 or above | 99% |
$63,000 or above | 99% |
$63,250 or above | 1% |
$63,500 or above | 1% |
$63,750 or above | 1% |
$64,000 or above | 1% |
$64,250 or above | 1% |
$64,500 or above | 1% |
$64,750 or above | 1% |
$65,000 or above | 1% |
$65,250 or above | 1% |
$65,500 or above | 0% |
$65,750 or above | 0% |
$66,000 or above | 0% |
$66,250 or above | 0% |
$66,500 or above | 0% |
$66,750 or above | 0% |
$67,000 or above | 0% |
$67,250 or above | 0% |
$67,500 or above | 0% |
$67,750 or above | 0% |
$68,000 or above | 0% |
$68,250 or above | 0% |
$68,500 or above | 0% |
$68,750 or above | 0% |
$69,000 or above | 0% |
$69,250 or above | 1% |
$69,500 or above | 1% |
$69,750 or above | 1% |
$70,000 or above | 0% |
$70,250 or above | 0% |
$70,500 or above | 0% |
$70,750 or above | 0% |
$71,000 or above | 0% |
$71,250 or above | 0% |
$71,500 or above | 1% |
$71,750 or above | 0% |
$72,000 or above | 0% |
$72,250 or above | 0% |
$52,500 or above
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 52499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Bitcoin's price can be affected by market demand, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends. Additionally, technological advancements and adoption rates play a crucial role in shaping investor sentiment.
Prediction markets aggregate participant expectations based on current information and trends. Traders place bets on various price levels, which helps establish the odds reflecting collective market sentiment.
The timing aligns with the close of traditional financial markets, which can influence cryptocurrency trading volumes. Additionally, significant news or events often occur around this time, impacting price movements.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are $52,500 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $52,750 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi; $53,000 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi; $53,250 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
