About This Market
Traders give New Mexico Lobos about a 84.8% chance. UNLV Rebels follows at 15.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.
Live prediction market odds for UNLV Rebels vs. New Mexico Lobos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Traders give New Mexico Lobos about a 84.8% chance. UNLV Rebels follows at 15.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the UNLV vs New Mexico college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigNew Mexico Lobos in UNLV @ New Mexico (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between UNLV and New Mexico, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the UNLV vs New Mexico college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 7:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogUNLV @ UNM Moneyline: New Mexico to win in UNLV @ UNM; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are New Mexico Lobos: 85.0¢ on Kalshi, 84.5¢ on Polymarket, 84.7¢ on ProphetX, 85.0¢ on Polymarket US, 84.8¢ on Novig; UNLV Rebels: 15.5¢ on Kalshi, 15.5¢ on Polymarket, 15.3¢ on ProphetX, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US, 15.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New Mexico Lobos at 84.8¢ implies about a 84.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
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Trader up $4.6M lifetime bought $1.4K of Over at 52¢
1d agoUNLV vs. New Mexico: O/U 45.5Trade on Polymarket US