About This Market
Ball State Cardinals vs.
Ball State Cardinals vs. Liberty Flames: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Ball State Cardinals vs. Liberty Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-19
This market resolved on 2026-09-19. Liberty Flames was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
Ball State Cardinals vs.
Ball State Cardinals vs. Liberty Flames: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 34.5 | — | — | — | 94% | — |
Total under 69.5 | — | — | — | 93% | — |
Total over 33.5 | — | — | — | 88% | — |
Liberty Flames spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Total under 65.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 10.5 | 87% | — | — | 84% | — |
Liberty FlamesWINNER | 85% | 12% | 85% | 91% | 99% |
Liberty Flames spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Liberty Flames spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Total over 41.5 | — | — | — | 82% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 20.5 | — | — | — | 80% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 19.5 | — | — | — | 79% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 18.5 | — | — | — | 78% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 17.5 | — | — | — | 77% | — |
Total under 63.5 | — | — | — | 67% | — |
Total over 53.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Total over 37.5 | 81% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 3.5 | 77% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 16.5 | 45% | — | — | 80% | — |
Total under 55.5 | — | — | 55% | 67% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 6.5 | 70% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 43.5 | 67% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | 58% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 7.5 | 65% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 61.5 | 0% | — | — | 57% | — |
Total under 51.5 | — | — | — | 57% | — |
Total under 57.5 | — | — | — | 57% | — |
Total over 47.5 | — | — | — | 56% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 13.5 | 53% | — | — | 59% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 9.5 | 62% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 11.5 | 57% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 49.5 | — | — | 52% | 52% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 14.5 | — | — | 52% | 51% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 22.5 | — | — | 99% | 51% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 0% | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 10.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 24.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 27.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 28.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 30.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 31.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 8.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 9.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 27.5 | 0% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 28.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 30.5 | 0% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 31.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 5.5 | 0% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 8.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 29.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 31.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 35.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 39.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 45.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 29.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 31.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 35.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 37.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 39.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 43.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 45.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 22.5 | — | — | 99% | 50% | — |
Total over 49.5 | 49% | — | 49% | 48% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 14.5 | 48% | — | 48% | 49% | — |
Total under 67.5 | — | — | — | 48% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 47% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 21.5 | 31% | — | — | 63% | — |
Total over 52.5 | 40% | — | 52% | — | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 24.5 | 41% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 47.5 | — | — | — | 44% | — |
Total over 51.5 | — | — | — | 43% | — |
Total over 57.5 | 0% | — | — | 43% | — |
Total under 61.5 | — | — | — | 43% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 43% | — |
Total over 59.5 | 25% | — | — | 59% | — |
Total under 59.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 13.5 | — | — | — | 41% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 21.5 | — | — | — | 37% | — |
Total under 53.5 | — | — | — | 34% | — |
Total over 55.5 | 32% | — | 46% | 33% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 17.5 | 41% | — | — | 24% | — |
Total over 67.5 | 12% | — | — | 53% | — |
Total under 41.5 | — | — | — | 30% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 20.5 | 33% | — | — | 20% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread minus 6.5 | 3% | — | — | 50% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 18.5 | — | — | — | 22% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 19.5 | — | — | — | 21% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 16.5 | — | — | — | 20% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Total over 63.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 0% | — | — | 13% | — |
Total over 65.5 | — | — | — | 13% | — |
Total under 33.5 | — | — | — | 12% | — |
Ball State Cardinals | 16% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 4% |
Total over 69.5 | — | — | — | 8% | — |
Liberty Flames spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | 7% | — |
Ball State Cardinals spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 3% | — |
Ball St. wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 10.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 11.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 13.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 4.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 5.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 7.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Ball St. wins by over 9.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Liberty wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Liberty wins by over 2.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Liberty wins by over 23.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Liberty wins by over 4.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 40.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 46.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 56.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 58.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 60.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 64.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 70.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 73.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 76.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 79.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Liberty Flames
74.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Liberty wins the Ball St. vs Liberty college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigLiberty Flames in Ball State @ Liberty (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Liberty, scheduled for September 19 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game. This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Ball State vs Liberty College Football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Liberty Flames: 85.0¢ on Kalshi, 91.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 12.0¢ on Polymarket US, 84.5¢ on Novig; Ball State Cardinals: 16.0¢ on Kalshi, 9.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US, 15.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 87.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Liberty Flames at 74.3¢ implies about a 74.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.