Live prediction market odds for East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
College Football·Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. North Carolina Tar Heels was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: College Football game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 1.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 10.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 31.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 5.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 6.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 7.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 8.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 34.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 40.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 46.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 18.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 36.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 40.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 42.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 46.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 49.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 50.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 56.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 48.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 56.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 58.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 60.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 34.5 | 99% | — | — | 98% | — |
North Carolina Tar HeelsWINNER | 100% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 14.5 | 100% | — | — | 95% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 17.5 | 100% | — | — | 95% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 16.5 | 100% | — | — | 94% | — |
Total over 32.5 | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Total over 36.5 | — | — | — | 91% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 13.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 20.5 | 100% | — | — | 90% | — |
Total under 38.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 42.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 44.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 62.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 66.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 68.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 72.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 53.5 | — | — | — | 80% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 76% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 27.5 | 100% | — | — | 74% | — |
Total under 50.5 | — | — | — | 74% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 30.5 | 100% | — | — | 73% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 28.5 | — | — | — | 72% | — |
Total over 46.5 | 1% | — | — | 70% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 24.5 | 100% | — | — | 68% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 29.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Total over 51.5 | 1% | — | — | 66% | — |
Total under 52.5 | — | — | — | 65% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 41.5 | — | — | — | 64% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 44.5 | — | — | — | 64% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 32.5 | — | — | — | 63% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 43.5 | — | — | — | 63% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 39.5 | — | — | — | 56% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 38.5 | — | — | — | 55% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 37.5 | — | — | — | 55% | — |
Total over 54.5 | 1% | — | — | 53% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 35.5 | 1% | — | — | 51% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 52.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 53.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 33.5 | 1% | — | — | 51% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 41.5 | 1% | — | — | 51% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 19.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 22.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 18.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 19.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 22.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 37.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 49.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 50.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 52.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 53.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 56.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 35.5 | — | — | — | 49% | — |
Total under 54.5 | — | — | — | 47% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 38.5 | 1% | — | — | 45% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 39.5 | — | — | — | 45% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 33.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
Total over 58.5 | 1% | — | — | 40% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 32.5 | — | — | — | 37% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 43.5 | — | — | — | 37% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 42.5 | — | — | — | 36% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 44.5 | — | — | — | 36% | — |
Total over 52.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 30.5 | — | — | — | 34% | — |
Total under 51.5 | — | — | — | 34% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 24.5 | — | — | — | 32% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 29.5 | — | — | — | 32% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 46.5 | — | — | — | 32% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 25.5 | — | — | — | 29% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 28.5 | — | — | — | 29% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 27.5 | — | — | — | 26% | — |
Total over 50.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 21.5 | — | — | — | 24% | — |
Total over 53.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 13.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 20.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Total under 32.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Total under 36.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 16.5 | — | — | — | 6% | — |
Total under 64.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
Total under 70.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 14.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 17.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Total under 34.5 | — | — | — | 2% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 25.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 36.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 40.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 40.5 | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 64.5 | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 70.5 | 1% | — | — | — | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 10.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 31.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers spread plus 8.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 23.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 45.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 48.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 51.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 54.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 31.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 37.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 43.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 49.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 55.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 61.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 67.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 73.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 38.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 42.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 44.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 48.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 56.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 60.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 62.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 66.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 68.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 72.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf North Carolina wins the East Tennessee St. vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigNorth Carolina Tar Heels in East Tennessee State @ North Carolina (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between East Tennessee State and North Carolina, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "East Tennessee State" if East Tennessee State win the game. This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Buccaneers vs Tar Heels College Football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are North Carolina Tar Heels: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US, 99.5¢ on Novig; East Tennessee State Buccaneers: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.2¢ on ProphetX, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US, 0.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, North Carolina Tar Heels at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
