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Florida State Seminoles vs.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-19
This market resolved on 2026-09-19. Alabama Crimson Tide was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Florida State Seminoles vs.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: College Football game held on 2026-09-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 13.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 37.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 27.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 44.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 13.5 | — | — | — | 97% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 17.5 | — | — | — | 97% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 9.5 | — | — | — | 95% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Alabama Crimson TideWINNER | 99% | 23% | 90% | 100% | 97% |
Total over 32.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
Total over 36.5 | 96% | — | — | 83% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 20.5 | — | — | — | 89% | — |
Total over 34.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Total under 66.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Total under 64.5 | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 33.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total under 62.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total over 42.5 | 92% | — | — | 70% | — |
Total over 38.5 | — | — | — | 79% | — |
Total under 60.5 | — | — | — | 77% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 30.5 | — | — | — | 76% | — |
Total over 40.5 | — | — | — | 76% | — |
Total over 30.5 | 99% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 56.5 | — | — | — | 68% | — |
Alabama wins by over 1.5 points | 99% | — | 67% | — | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 23.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Total under 58.5 | — | — | — | 65% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 21.5 | — | — | — | 64% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 24.5 | — | — | — | 63% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 62% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 14.5 | — | — | — | 61% | — |
Total over 46.5 | — | — | — | 60% | — |
Total over 66.5 | 95% | — | — | 25% | — |
Total over 52.5 | 69% | — | — | 49% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 22.5 | — | — | — | 58% | — |
Total over 54.5 | 66% | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 50.5 | 76% | — | 50% | 57% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 56% | — |
Total over 48.5 | 76% | — | 56% | 55% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 18.5 | — | — | 53% | 100% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 19.5 | — | — | 52% | 99% | — |
Total under 52.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
Total under 54.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 18.5 | — | — | 48% | 49% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 19.5 | — | — | 48% | 47% | — |
Total under 50.5 | — | — | 51% | 43% | — |
Alabama wins by over 7.5 points | 99% | — | 46% | — | — |
Total under 48.5 | — | — | — | 45% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 44% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 22.5 | — | — | — | 41% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 25.5 | — | — | — | 41% | — |
Total over 62.5 | — | — | — | 41% | — |
Total over 56.5 | — | — | — | 40% | — |
Total under 46.5 | — | — | — | 40% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 38% | — |
Total under 40.5 | — | — | — | 38% | — |
Total over 60.5 | 48% | — | — | 23% | — |
Total under 44.5 | — | — | — | 35% | — |
Total under 42.5 | — | — | — | 31% | — |
Total over 58.5 | — | — | — | 28% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 27% | — |
Total under 38.5 | — | — | — | 21% | — |
Total over 64.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Total under 36.5 | — | — | — | 16% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 13% | — |
Total under 34.5 | — | — | — | 13% | — |
Florida State Seminoles | 1% | 77% | 10% | 100% | 4% |
Total under 32.5 | — | — | — | 10% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 9% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 33.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% | — |
Total under 30.5 | — | — | — | 7% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 30.5 | 1% | — | — | 5% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 21.5 | 1% | — | — | 2% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 16.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 26.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 37.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 16.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 23.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 14.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 20.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 24.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 27.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 28.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 34.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 36.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Florida State Seminoles spread plus 40.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 68.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 70.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 17.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 25.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 26.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 28.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 36.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide spread minus 40.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama wins by over 10.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama wins by over 35.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama wins by over 38.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama wins by over 4.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Florida St. wins by over 1.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Florida St. wins by over 2.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Florida St. wins by over 3.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Florida St. wins by over 4.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 33.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 39.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 45.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 51.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 53.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 57.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 63.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 69.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 72.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 49.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 68.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 70.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Alabama Crimson Tide
81.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Alabama wins the Florida St. vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigAlabama Crimson Tide in Florida State @ Alabama (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Florida State vs Alabama College Football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Alabama Crimson Tide: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.7¢ on ProphetX, 23.0¢ on Polymarket US, 90.0¢ on Novig; Florida State Seminoles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 77.0¢ on Polymarket US, 10.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Alabama Crimson Tide at 81.7¢ implies about a 81.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.