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Live prediction market odds for Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears

College Football·2026-09-12

Best price · tap to trade

Maine Black Bears1¢100.00xKalshiMerrimack Warriors7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Maine Black Bears about a 31.4% chance. Merrimack Warriors follows at 61.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Traders give Maine Black Bears about a 31.4% chance. Merrimack Warriors follows at 61.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 92.9 percentage points.

Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears: College Football game scheduled for 2026-09-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
MW
Merrimack WarriorsARB
60%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US7¢
Novig23¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX77¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
NovigNovig
22.0%21¢23¢77¢79¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
MB
Maine Black BearsARB
39%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US43¢
Novig77¢
—
ProphetX36¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
42.0%41¢43¢57¢59¢
NovigNovig
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
ProphetXProphetX
35.0%34¢36¢64¢66¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Spread

ARB 44¢
Best price
ME -10.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket66¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
Mrmk +10.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket55¢
Polymarket1.82x55¢

Totals

ARB 63¢
Best price
O 42.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket64¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
U 42.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket36¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread92.9%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Maine Black Bears

31.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Merrimack wins the Merrimack vs Maine college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Merrimack Warriors in Merrimack @ Maine (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between Merrimack and Maine, scheduled for September 12 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. This market will resolve to "Maine" if Maine win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Warriors vs Black Bears College Football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears odds?

The latest available prices are Maine Black Bears: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 35.7¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US, 77.0¢ on Novig; Merrimack Warriors: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 76.5¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US, 23.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 92.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Merrimack Warriors vs. Maine Black Bears prediction market payouts work?

For example, Maine Black Bears at 31.4¢ implies about a 31.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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