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Live prediction market odds for Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Fresno State Bulldogs Wins: Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Fresno State Bulldogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Sacramento State Hornets vs.

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: College Football game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Total over 47.5
100%——100%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 24.5
99%——100%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 1.5
100%——99%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 14.5
100%——99%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 27.5
100%——99%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 3.5
100%——99%—
Total over 49.5
100%——99%—
Total over 51.5
100%——99%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 27.5
———99%—
Total under 53.5
———99%—
Total under 55.5
———99%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 5.5
99%——100%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 21.5
97%——100%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 17.5
100%——96%—
Total over 31.5
100%——96%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 4.5
96%——100%—
Total over 37.5
100%——96%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 7.5
95%——100%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 23.5
95%——95%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 6.5
94%——100%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 35.5
———94%—
Total over 25.5
———94%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 10.5
94%——100%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 38.5
———93%—
Total under 65.5
———93%—
Fresno State BulldogsWINNER
100%90%98%100%92%
Total over 27.5
———91%—
Total under 63.5
———91%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread plus 2.5
———91%—
Total over 29.5
———89%—
Total under 61.5
———89%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 11.5
88%——1%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 2.5
100%——86%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 32.5
———86%—
Total under 59.5
———86%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 9.5
99%——82%—
Total under 57.5
———82%—
Total over 35.5
———76%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 0.5
———75%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread minus 2.5
1%——75%—
Total over 43.5
100%——74%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 26.5
———73%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 35.5
85%——58%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 16.5
96%——45%—
Total under 51.5
———69%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 38.5
100%——69%—
Total over 39.5
———63%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 22.5
———62%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 8.5
———62%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 21.5
———61%—
Total under 47.5
———60%—
Total under 35.5
———58%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 20.5
———58%—
Total over 41.5
———57%—
Total under 33.5
———56%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 15.5
———55%—
Total over 65.5
———53%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 13.5
94%——9%—
Total under 44.5
———52%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 18.5
———51%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 17.5
———49%—
Total over 44.5
———49%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 18.5
100%——48%—
Total under 43.5
———47%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 19.5
———46%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 15.5
———45%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 16.5
———45%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 19.5
———45%—
Total over 33.5
———45%—
Total over 45.5
———45%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 20.5
100%——44%—
Total under 41.5
———44%—
Total under 45.5
———42%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 22.5
———38%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 8.5
———38%—
Total under 39.5
———38%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 12.5
———36%—
Total under 37.5
———30%—
Total under 49.5
———30%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 7.5
———28%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 26.5
———27%—
Total over 61.5
2%——52%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 34.5
———26%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 0.5
———25%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 6.5
———23%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 25.5
———22%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 25.5
———22%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 5.5
———21%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 4.5
———18%—
Total over 57.5
———18%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 3.5
———17%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 31.5
———16%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 28.5
———16%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 31.5
———16%—
Total under 31.5
———16%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 32.5
———14%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 2.5
———14%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 23.5
———14%—
Total over 59.5
———14%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 1.5
———13%—
Total over 55.5
6%——19%—
Total under 29.5
———12%—
Sacramento State Hornets
1%10%3%0%12%
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 14.5
———10%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 13.5
———9%—
Total over 63.5
———9%—
Total under 27.5
———9%—
Total under 25.5
———6%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 24.5
———5%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 12.5
———2%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 11.5
———1%—
Total over 53.5
———1%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 10.5
———0%—
Sacramento State Hornets spread plus 9.5
———0%—
Fresno St. wins by over 30.5 points
—————
Fresno St. wins by over 33.5 points
—————
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 28.5
———50%—
Fresno State Bulldogs spread minus 34.5
———50%—
Over 28.5 points scored
—————
Over 34.5 points scored
—————
Over 40.5 points scored
—————
Over 46.5 points scored
—————
Over 48.5 points scored
—————
Over 50.5 points scored
—————
Over 52.5 points scored
—————
Over 58.5 points scored
—————
Over 64.5 points scored
—————
Over 67.5 points scored
—————
Over 70.5 points scored
—————
Sacramento St. wins by over 1.5 points
—————
Sacramento St. wins by over 3.5 points
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread11.9%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Fresno State Bulldogs

95.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Sacramento St. wins the Sacramento St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Sacramento State Hornets in Sacramento State @ Fresno State (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between Sacramento State and Fresno State, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Hornets vs Bulldogs College Football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs odds?

The last available prices are Fresno State Bulldogs: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 92.1¢ on ProphetX, 90.0¢ on Polymarket US, 97.5¢ on Novig; Sacramento State Hornets: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 12.0¢ on ProphetX, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US, 2.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 11.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs prediction market payouts work?

For example, Fresno State Bulldogs at 95.8¢ implies about a 95.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds