About This Market
Traders give Utah Utes about a 75.2% chance. TCU Horned Frogs follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.5 percentage points.
Live prediction market odds for Utah Utes vs. TCU Horned Frogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
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Traders give Utah Utes about a 75.2% chance. TCU Horned Frogs follows at 41.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
Novig
PolymarketKalshiNovigPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
KalshiIf TCU wins the Utah vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigTCU Horned Frogs in Utah @ TCU (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Utah and TCU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game. This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Utah Utes: 69.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket, 83.5¢ on Novig; TCU Horned Frogs: 31.5¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 47.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Utah Utes at 75.2¢ implies about a 75.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.