Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Pro viewNew
Every venue, one board

Moneyline, spread, total and props, with the best price per side.

Open Pro view
Odds
SportsNFLNCAAFMLBCrypto
TennisElectionsPoliticsEconomicsEntertainmentAll Markets
Futures
NFLNCAAFMLBMidtermsNew
2028 PresidentialTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo CodeProphetX Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • NBA Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • 2026 MidtermsNew
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitrageMidtermsPromos

Live prediction market odds for Closest Senate race in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Listed Sep 20, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 3, 2027

Best price · tap to trade

Iowa16¢6.25xKalshiKansas14¢7.14xKalshiTexas13¢7.69xKalshi
Compare all 15 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Iowa about a 15.5% chance. Kansas follows at 13.5%, Texas follows at 12.5%, and Maine follows at 10.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Iowa about a 15.5% chance. Kansas follows at 13.5%, Texas follows at 12.5%, and Maine follows at 10.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the closest Senate race in 2026. The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Senate elections held on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate polling and campaign developments leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
I
Iowa
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
—
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
K
Kansas
single venue14%
Kalshi14¢
—
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.5%13¢14¢86¢87¢
T
Texas
single venue13%
Kalshi13¢
—
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
M
Maine
11%
Kalshi10¢
PredictIt13¢
Kalshi10.20x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.8%10¢10¢90¢90¢
PredictItPredictIt
11.5%10¢13¢87¢90¢
M
Michigan
single venue9%
Kalshi9¢
—
Kalshi11.63x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.6%9¢9¢91¢92¢
KalshiKalshiPredictItPredictIt

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms2
Candidates15
Volume$1.0M
Leader

Iowa

15.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Closest Senate race in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Montana has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the closest Senate race in 2026?

The closest Senate race is determined by the margin of victory among candidates in the elections held on November 3, 2026. Prediction markets will adjust based on polling data and campaign events leading up to the election.

When will the closest Senate race be decided?

The closest Senate race will be decided on November 3, 2026, during the general elections. This date is critical as it marks the end of the election cycle for Senate candidates.

How do market odds change for this event?

Market odds for the closest Senate race can change based on candidate performance in polls, debates, and public appearances. Events such as endorsements or controversies can also significantly impact the odds leading up to the election.

What does the Closest Senate race in 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Closest Senate race in 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Iowa: 15.5¢ on Kalshi; Kansas: 13.5¢ on Kalshi; Texas: 12.5¢ on Kalshi; Maine: 9.8¢ on Kalshi, 11.5¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

2028 US Presidential General Election

View

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

View

TN-04 House Election Winner

View

Bulgaria Presidential Election

View

Ryvex vs. Al Ahli

Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Collins and Jackson Deadlocked in Two Polls as Maine Hits 18%UNH has Jackson up 51-47; NYT/Siena has Collins up 49-46. A $3.4M Democratic ad blitz launched the same week, pushing Maine to the top of the closest-race board.Oct 5, 2026