Live prediction market odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Democratic about a 61.5% chance. Republican follows at 37.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.
Traders give Democratic about a 61.5% chance. Republican follows at 37.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. The outcome will influence national policies and party dynamics for years to come, making it a focal point for voters and political analysts alike.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Democratic
61.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThe 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Key factors include economic conditions, public approval ratings, and major events leading up to the election. Candidate popularity and party strategies also play significant roles.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes.
The election is scheduled for November 5, 2028. This date is set by law for federal elections in the United States.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Democratic: 58.0¢ on Kalshi, 65.0¢ on Polymarket; Republican: 41.0¢ on Kalshi, 34.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.