Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential General Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.
Traders give Jon Ossoff about a 18.4% chance. JD Vance follows at 13.3%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 9.5%, and Marco Rubio follows at 9.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 86.8 percentage points.
Jon Ossoff is the senior United States Senator from Georgia, serving since January 2021. Before his election, he was CEO of Insight TWI, producing investigative journalism on corruption and war crimes. He is recognized for his bipartisan legislative efforts and leadership in national security and veterans' affairs.
About JD Vance
J.D. Vance is the current Vice President of the United States, serving since January 20, 2025. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Ohio from 2023 to 2025. His current role as Vice President makes him a prominent figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.
About Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the U.S. Representative for New York's 14th Congressional District. She was elected to Congress in 2018, becoming the youngest woman ever to serve in the U.S. House of Representatives. Her progressive policies and social media presence have made her a prominent figure in American politics.
About Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio is the current U.S. Secretary of State under President Donald Trump. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Florida for three terms. His extensive experience in foreign policy and diplomacy makes him a significant figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.
About Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom is the Governor of California, serving since 2019. He previously held the positions of Lieutenant Governor and Mayor of San Francisco. His tenure as governor and potential candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election make him a key figure in this prediction market.
About Ron DeSantis
Ron DeSantis is the 46th Governor of Florida, serving since January 2019. He previously represented Florida's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018. DeSantis is recognized for his conservative policies and leadership during significant events, including the COVID-19 pandemic and major hurricanes.
About Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris is a former U.S. vice president and the Democratic Party's 2024 presidential nominee. She served as vice president from 2021 to 2025 and was defeated by Donald Trump in the 2024 election. Harris is currently considering a potential run in the 2028 presidential election.
About Andy Beshear
Andy Beshear is the current Governor of Kentucky, serving his second term after re-election in 2023. He previously served as the state's Attorney General from 2016 to 2019. Beshear has demonstrated a strong track record in public service, including leading the state through significant natural disasters and economic development initiatives.
About Pete Buttigieg
Pete Buttigieg is a former U.S. Secretary of Transportation and two-term mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He served as Secretary from 2021 to 2025, overseeing numerous infrastructure projects and transportation initiatives. Buttigieg is considering a potential presidential run in 2028, having recently re-engaged with key states like South Carolina to build support.
About Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro is the current Governor of Pennsylvania, serving since January 17, 2023. Before this, he was the state's Attorney General from 2017 to 2023. His leadership in Pennsylvania positions him as a potential candidate in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election.
About James Talarico
James Talarico is a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives, representing the 50th district since 2023. He previously served the 52nd district from 2018 to 2023 and has been recognized as one of Texas's most effective progressive legislators. Talarico is known for his advocacy against political corruption and efforts to make life more affordable for Texas families.
About JB Pritzker
J.B. Pritzker is the 43rd Governor of Illinois, serving since 2019. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he co-founded Pritzker Group Private Capital and was a national co-chair of Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign. His extensive experience in business and politics underscores his qualifications for national leadership roles.
About Wes Moore
Wes Moore is the 63rd Governor of Maryland, having taken office on January 18, 2023. He is the state's first Black governor and only the third African American elected governor in U.S. history. Moore's leadership is marked by a focus on economic equity, education reform, and climate change initiatives.
About Donald Trump
Donald J. Trump is the 47th and current President of the United States, inaugurated on January 20, 2025. He previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021. As a businessman and television personality, he led the Trump Organization and hosted 'The Apprentice' before entering politics.
About Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is an American actor, producer, and former professional wrestler. He is currently a member of the board of directors for TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of WWE and UFC. Johnson's extensive experience in entertainment and business, including his role in launching Teremana Tequila and the United Football League, underscores his leadership capabilities.
About Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson is a conservative political commentator and host of The Tucker Carlson Show. He previously hosted Tucker Carlson Tonight on Fox News from 2016 to 2023. Carlson is known for his influential role in right-wing media and his advocacy of Trumpism.
About Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie is the U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 4th congressional district, serving since 2012. He previously served as Lewis County Judge Executive from 2011 to 2012. Massie is known for his libertarian-leaning Republican views and his engineering background from MIT.
About Ro Khanna
Ro Khanna is the U.S. Representative for California's 17th Congressional District, serving his fifth term. He previously served as Deputy Assistant Secretary in the U.S. Department of Commerce under President Obama. As Ranking Member of the Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party, he leads efforts to address U.S.-China relations.
About Glenn Youngkin
Glenn Youngkin is the former Governor of Virginia, having served from January 15, 2022, to January 17, 2026. Prior to his gubernatorial tenure, he was co-CEO of The Carlyle Group, a leading global investment firm. His extensive experience in both business and public service underscores his qualifications for national leadership roles.
About Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard is a former U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district and served as the Director of National Intelligence from February 2025 to June 2026. She resigned from the DNI position in June 2026 to support her husband during his battle with cancer. Gabbard's extensive experience in national security and intelligence makes her a significant figure in discussions about U.S. presidential elections.
About Elon Musk
Elon Musk is the Chief Executive Officer and Technoking of Tesla, Inc., and the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Technology Officer, and Chairman of SpaceX. He co-founded Neuralink Corp. and The Boring Company, and acquired Twitter, Inc. in October 2022, rebranding it as X. Musk's leadership in technology and innovation has significantly influenced multiple industries, including automotive, aerospace, and social media.
About Michelle Obama
Michelle Obama is a lawyer, writer, and former First Lady of the United States. She co-founded PLEZi Nutrition in 2023 to promote healthier eating among children. Her extensive experience in public service and advocacy for health and education makes her a significant figure in American politics.
About Ivanka Trump
Ivanka Trump is a co-founder of Planet Harvest, a company focused on reducing food waste by connecting surplus produce with consumers and food companies. She previously served as Senior Advisor to the President during her father's administration from 2017 to 2021, concentrating on women's economic empowerment and workforce development. Her extensive experience in business and public service underscores her qualifications in economic initiatives and entrepreneurship.
About Donald Trump Jr
Donald J. Trump Jr. is an Executive Vice President at The Trump Organization. He has been involved in various business ventures and served as a boardroom judge on 'The Apprentice.' His extensive experience in business and media makes him a notable figure in American politics.
About Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer is the current governor of Michigan, serving her second term since January 1, 2023. She previously served as the state's governor from 2019 to 2023 and was the first woman to lead a Senate caucus in Michigan. Whitmer has been elected vice chair of the Democratic Governors Association for 2026, focusing on electing Democratic governors nationwide.
About Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley is the Walter P. Stern Chair at the Hudson Institute. She served as the 29th U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Haley was the 116th Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017.
About Stephen Smith
Stephen A. Smith is a television personality, radio host, sports analyst, political commentator, and actor. He is currently a featured commentator and executive producer for ESPN's 'First Take' and hosts 'The Stephen A. Smith Show' on SiriusXM's Mad Dog Sports Radio channel. Smith has been a prominent figure in sports media since 2003, known for his dynamic commentary and in-depth analysis.
About Jamie Dimon
Jamie Dimon is the Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase. He has led the bank since 2005, overseeing its growth into the largest U.S. bank by assets. Dimon is recognized for his leadership during financial crises and his influence in global banking.
About Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin is the junior U.S. Senator from Michigan, serving since January 3, 2025. She previously represented Michigan's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2023 to 2025. Slotkin's extensive background includes roles as a CIA analyst and Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs.
About Tom Cotton
Tom Cotton is the junior U.S. Senator from Arkansas, serving since 2015. He previously represented Arkansas's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2015. As Chair of the Senate Republican Conference and the Senate Intelligence Committee, Cotton holds significant leadership positions in the Senate.
About Vivek Ramaswamy
Vivek Ramaswamy is the Republican nominee for the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. He founded Roivant Sciences in 2014 and served as its CEO until 2021. Ramaswamy has been active in Republican politics, including a 2024 presidential campaign and support for Donald Trump.
About Greg Abbott
Greg Abbott is the 48th Governor of Texas, serving since January 20, 2015. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he was the 50th Attorney General of Texas from 2002 to 2015. As governor, Abbott has implemented significant policies on border security and economic development, solidifying his influence in state and national politics.
About Tim Walz
Tim Walz is the 41st Governor of Minnesota, serving since 2019. He previously represented Minnesota's 1st congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2007 to 2019. Walz was the Democratic Party's nominee for Vice President in the 2024 United States presidential election.
About Abigail Spanberger
Abigail Spanberger is the 75th governor of Virginia, having assumed office on January 17, 2026. She previously served three terms as the U.S. representative for Virginia's 7th congressional district from 2019 to 2025. Spanberger's extensive background includes roles as a federal law enforcement officer and a CIA operations officer, providing her with a unique perspective on national security and public service.
About Adam Schiff
Adam Schiff is the U.S. Senator for California, serving since January 3, 2025. He previously represented California's 30th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2023 to 2024. Schiff is recognized for his leadership on national security issues and his role in significant congressional investigations.
About Alex Padilla
Alex Padilla is the senior U.S. Senator from California, serving since 2021. He previously served as California's Secretary of State from 2015 to 2021. Padilla is recognized for his leadership in voting rights and environmental protection.
About Candace Owens
Candace Owens is an American conservative commentator, author, and podcaster. She served as communications director for Turning Point USA from 2017 to 2019 and hosted 'Candace' on The Daily Wire until March 2024. Owens is known for her outspoken views on various political issues and her significant presence in conservative media.
About Doug Burgum
Doug Burgum is the 55th United States Secretary of the Interior, serving since February 1, 2025. He was the 33rd Governor of North Dakota from 2016 to 2024. As Secretary, he leads the Department of the Interior and chairs the National Energy Dominance Council, overseeing U.S. energy policy.
About Eric Trump
Eric Trump is the Executive Vice President of The Trump Organization, overseeing global real estate operations and strategic growth. He co-founded American Bitcoin and World Liberty Financial, leading the family's ventures into digital finance. His leadership in expanding the Trump brand into emerging industries underscores his influence in both traditional and digital business sectors.
About Hakeem Jeffries
Hakeem Jeffries is the Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives, representing New York's 8th congressional district. He previously served as Chair of the House Democratic Caucus and Whip of the Congressional Black Caucus. As House Minority Leader, Jeffries has led efforts to protect healthcare and advocate for social and economic justice.
About Jalen Brunson
Jalen Brunson is the point guard for the New York Knicks. He led the team to an NBA championship in 2026 and was named Finals MVP. Brunson's leadership and performance have established him as a key figure in the NBA.
About John N. Kennedy
John Neely Kennedy is the Republican U.S. Senator from Louisiana, serving since 2017. Prior to his Senate tenure, he was the Louisiana State Treasurer from 2000 to 2017. As a senator, he chairs the Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development and the Banking Subcommittee on Economic Policy.
About Josh Stein
Josh Stein is the 76th Governor of North Carolina, serving since January 1, 2025. Prior to this, he was the state's Attorney General from 2017 to 2025. As governor, Stein has focused on economic development, public education, and disaster recovery efforts.
About Kim Kardashian
Kim Kardashian is an American media personality and businesswoman, co-founder and chief creative officer of SKIMS, a shapewear and apparel company valued at $5 billion as of November 2025. She gained prominence with the reality television series Keeping Up with the Kardashians, which aired from 2007 to 2021. Kardashian has expanded her business ventures to include KKW Beauty, KKW Fragrance, and SKKN by Kim, and has pursued acting roles in films and television series.
About LeBron James
LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Philadelphia 76ers. He is the NBA's all-time leading scorer and a four-time NBA Champion. His extensive experience and leadership in professional sports make him a notable figure in discussions about public figures and potential political candidates.
About Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson is the 56th Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, elected on October 25, 2023. He has represented Louisiana's 4th congressional district since 2017 and served as Vice Chair of the House Republican Conference from 2021 to 2023. Johnson's leadership in the House and his role in the Republican Party's legislative agenda make him a significant figure in U.S. politics.
About Rick Scott
Rick Scott is the senior U.S. Senator from Florida, serving since January 8, 2019. He was the 45th Governor of Florida from 2011 to 2019. As a former governor and current senator, he has extensive experience in state and federal government.
About Tim Scott
Tim Scott is the senior U.S. Senator from South Carolina, serving since 2013. He chairs the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Scott's leadership roles and legislative experience position him as a significant figure in national politics.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: 2028 US Presidential General Election
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Mark Kelly is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket US
Primary Rule
This market will settle to Yes if Mark Kelly wins the 2028 United States Presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The election winner is determined by electoral college votes. If no individual receives a majority of electoral college votes, this market will settle based on the first person formally selected, in a non-acting capacity, to assume the Presidency of the United States for the presidential term beginning after the 2028 United States presidential election under the subsequent constitutional process.
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the significance of the 2028 US Presidential General Election?
The 2028 election will shape the political landscape of the United States for the following four years. Key issues such as healthcare, climate change, and economic policy will be at the forefront.
How do prediction markets work for the 2028 election?
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of traders to forecast the likelihood of various outcomes. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements and polling data, the odds can fluctuate significantly.
What factors influence the odds in prediction markets for this election?
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, voter turnout, and current events impacting public opinion. Economic conditions and major political developments can also sway market predictions.
What does the 2028 US Presidential General Election prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2028 US Presidential General Election odds?
The latest available prices are Jon Ossoff: 17.5¢ on Kalshi, 17.4¢ on Polymarket, 20.5¢ on PredictIt, 20.5¢ on Polymarket US, 17.4¢ on Predict.fun; JD Vance: 13.5¢ on Kalshi, 12.9¢ on Polymarket, 14.5¢ on PredictIt, 13.5¢ on Polymarket US, 14.1¢ on Predict.fun; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9.9¢ on Kalshi, 9.3¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on PredictIt, 9.5¢ on Polymarket US, 8.9¢ on Predict.fun; Marco Rubio: 8.7¢ on Kalshi, 9.4¢ on Polymarket, 9.5¢ on PredictIt, 10.5¢ on Polymarket US, 10.6¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Opinion
