Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential General Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.
Traders give JD Vance about a 20.3% chance. Jon Ossoff follows at 11.3%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 11.1%, and Marco Rubio follows at 9.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 43.0 percentage points.
Traders give JD Vance about a 20.3% chance. Jon Ossoff follows at 11.3%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 11.1%, and Marco Rubio follows at 9.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 43.0 percentage points.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2028 US Presidential General Election. This election will determine the next president, influencing domestic and foreign policies for years to come.
J.D. Vance is the current Vice President of the United States, serving since January 20, 2025. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Ohio from 2023 to 2025. His current role as Vice President makes him a prominent figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.
About Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff is the senior United States Senator from Georgia, serving since January 2021. Before his election, he was CEO of Insight TWI, producing investigative journalism on corruption and war crimes. He is recognized for his bipartisan legislative efforts and leadership in national security and veterans' affairs.
About Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the U.S. Representative for New York's 14th Congressional District. She was elected to Congress in 2018, becoming the youngest woman ever to serve in the U.S. House of Representatives. Her progressive policies and social media presence have made her a prominent figure in American politics.
About Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio is the current U.S. Secretary of State under President Donald Trump. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Florida for three terms. His extensive experience in foreign policy and diplomacy makes him a significant figure in the 2028 U.S. Presidential General Election.
About Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom is the Governor of California, serving since 2019. He previously held the positions of Lieutenant Governor and Mayor of San Francisco. His tenure as governor and potential candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election make him a key figure in this prediction market.
About Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris is a former U.S. vice president and the Democratic Party's 2024 presidential nominee. She served as vice president from 2021 to 2025 and was defeated by Donald Trump in the 2024 election. Harris is currently considering a potential run in the 2028 presidential election.
About Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro is the current Governor of Pennsylvania, serving since January 17, 2023. Before this, he was the state's Attorney General from 2017 to 2023. His leadership in Pennsylvania positions him as a potential candidate in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election.
About Pete Buttigieg
Pete Buttigieg is a former U.S. Secretary of Transportation and two-term mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He served as Secretary from 2021 to 2025, overseeing numerous infrastructure projects and transportation initiatives. Buttigieg is considering a potential presidential run in 2028, having recently re-engaged with key states like South Carolina to build support.
About Ron DeSantis
Ron DeSantis is the 46th Governor of Florida, serving since January 2019. He previously represented Florida's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018. DeSantis is recognized for his conservative policies and leadership during significant events, including the COVID-19 pandemic and major hurricanes.
About Andy Beshear
Andy Beshear is the current Governor of Kentucky, serving his second term after re-election in 2023. He previously served as the state's Attorney General from 2016 to 2019. Beshear has demonstrated a strong track record in public service, including leading the state through significant natural disasters and economic development initiatives.
About Donald Trump
Donald J. Trump is the 47th and current President of the United States, inaugurated on January 20, 2025. He previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021. As a businessman and television personality, he led the Trump Organization and hosted 'The Apprentice' before entering politics.
About Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson is a conservative political commentator and host of The Tucker Carlson Show. He previously hosted Tucker Carlson Tonight on Fox News from 2016 to 2023. Carlson is known for his influential role in right-wing media and his advocacy of Trumpism.
About Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is an American actor, producer, and former professional wrestler. He is currently a member of the board of directors for TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of WWE and UFC. Johnson's extensive experience in entertainment and business, including his role in launching Teremana Tequila and the United Football League, underscores his leadership capabilities.
About Wes Moore
Wes Moore is the 63rd Governor of Maryland, having taken office on January 18, 2023. He is the state's first Black governor and only the third African American elected governor in U.S. history. Moore's leadership is marked by a focus on economic equity, education reform, and climate change initiatives.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket US
Primary Rule
This market will settle to Yes if JD Vance wins the 2028 United States Presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The election winner is determined by electoral college votes. If no individual receives a majority of electoral college votes, this market will settle based on the first person formally selected, in a non-acting capacity, to assume the Presidency of the United States for the presidential term beginning after the 2028 United States presidential election under the subsequent constitutional process.
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the significance of the 2028 US Presidential General Election?
The 2028 election will shape the political landscape of the United States for the following four years. Key issues such as healthcare, climate change, and economic policy will be at the forefront.
How do prediction markets work for the 2028 election?
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of traders to forecast the likelihood of various outcomes. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements and polling data, the odds can fluctuate significantly.
What factors influence the odds in prediction markets for this election?
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, voter turnout, and current events impacting public opinion. Economic conditions and major political developments can also sway market predictions.
What does the 2028 US Presidential General Election prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2028 US Presidential General Election odds?
The latest available prices are JD Vance: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.8¢ on Polymarket, 23.0¢ on PredictIt, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US, 21.0¢ on Predict.fun; Jon Ossoff: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 11.5¢ on Polymarket, 12.2¢ on Predict.fun; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9.1¢ on Kalshi, 13.1¢ on Polymarket, 12.0¢ on PredictIt, 12.3¢ on Predict.fun; Marco Rubio: 9.5¢ on Kalshi, 8.8¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on PredictIt, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US, 9.3¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
