Live prediction market odds for TN-04 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-04 House Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-04 House Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Other | No result |
Scott DesJarlais (R) | No result |
Victoria Broderick (D) | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TN-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TN-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate profiles, and local issues significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national trends and party dynamics play a role in shaping voter preferences.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell contracts based on the likelihood of various outcomes. Prices reflect collective expectations about the election results.
Winning the TN-04 seat could affect party control in the House of Representatives. This election may also serve as a barometer for broader political trends leading into the 2026 midterms.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
