Live prediction market odds for Crude Oil all time high by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for Crude Oil all time high by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give December 31 about a 10.3% chance. September 30 follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.
Traders give December 31 about a 10.3% chance. September 30 follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funDecember 31
10.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are December 31: 9.5¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on Predict.fun; September 30: 0.2¢ on Polymarket, 0.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, December 31 at 10.3¢ implies about a 10.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.