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Live prediction market odds for Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series. Compare prices across .

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVED

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Tom Pelphrey Wins: Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Tom Pelphrey was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Emmy winner for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Emmy winner for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series. This award highlights exceptional performances in television, influencing industry recognition and future opportunities for the nominees involved.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

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Candidate
Billy Crudup
Carlos-Manuel Vesga
Gerran Howell
Jack Lowden
Patrick Ball
Shawn Hatosy
Tie
Tom PelphreyWINNER

Candidate Spotlight

About Billy Crudup

Billy Crudup is an American actor known for his versatility across film, television, and theater. He won a Tony Award for Best Featured Actor in a Play for his role in 'The Coast of Utopia' in 2007. His extensive career includes acclaimed performances in 'Almost Famous' and 'The Morning Show,' showcasing his range and depth as an actor.

About Carlos-Manuel Vesga

Carlos-Manuel Vesga is a Colombian actor known for his work in theater, television, and film. He has received critical acclaim for his role as Manousos Oviedo in the science fiction series 'Pluribus.' Vesga's extensive career includes notable performances in Colombian telenovelas such as 'Pobre Pablo' and 'Floricienta,' as well as films like 'Soñar no cuesta nada' and 'La pena máxima.'

About Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden is a Scottish actor and producer, currently starring as River Cartwright in the Apple TV series 'Slow Horses.' He won an Olivier Award and the Ian Charleson Award for his role as Oswald in Richard Eyre's 2013 adaptation of Ibsen's 'Ghosts.' Lowden's performances in 'Slow Horses' have earned him nominations for a Primetime Emmy Award and a Golden Globe Award.

About Patrick Ball

Patrick Ball is an American actor best known for his role as Dr. Frank Langdon on the HBO Max medical drama series 'The Pitt.' He received a Critics' Choice Television Award nomination for Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series for this performance. Ball has an extensive theater background, having performed with renowned U.S. theater institutions like Barrington Stage Company, Shakespeare Theatre Company, and the Old Globe Theatre.

About Shawn Hatosy

Shawn Hatosy is an American actor and director, currently starring as Dr. Jack Abbot in the HBO Max medical drama series The Pitt. He is best known for his role as Detective Sammy Bryant in the crime drama series Southland. Hatosy won the Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series for his performance in The Pitt.

About Tom Pelphrey

Tom Pelphrey is an American actor known for his roles in television and film. He won two Daytime Emmy Awards for Outstanding Younger Actor in a Drama Series for his portrayal of Jonathan Randall on 'Guiding Light'. Pelphrey has received critical acclaim for his performances in 'Ozark' and 'Love & Death', showcasing his versatility and depth as an actor.

Resolution Oracles

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Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates8
Winner

Billy Crudup

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Patrick Ball has won Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Emmys. Any references to the Emmys, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Emmys and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Emmy Awards?

The Emmy Awards celebrate excellence in the television industry, recognizing outstanding achievements in various categories. Winning an Emmy can significantly enhance a performer's career and visibility.

How are prediction markets influencing Emmy outcomes?

Prediction markets aggregate public sentiment and expert analysis, reflecting real-time expectations for Emmy winners. As performances and industry buzz evolve, odds can shift dramatically leading up to the awards.

When will the Emmy winner for Outstanding Supporting Actor be announced?

The Emmy winner for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series will be announced on September 14, 2026. This date is pivotal for nominees and their respective shows, impacting future projects.

What does the Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Hatosy Hits 22% in Emmy Supporting Actor Race After Guest-to-SupportingPrediction markets repriced Hatosy +9 points in three days. He is the only nominee in the field who already holds an Emmy for the same character.Sep 12, 2026Shawn Hatosy's Emmy Odds Halved to 12% With 6 Episodes on RecordHis probability fell from 22% to 12% in three days. Kalshi and Polymarket agree on the number, ruling out a platform-specific glitch.Sep 10, 2026Hatosy Jumps to 20% for Supporting Actor Emmy After The Pitt's FourHatosy surged from 12% to 20% in three days after The Pitt collected four early-ceremony Emmys on September 5, continuing his run from Guest Actor winner in 2025.Sep 7, 2026Tom Pelphrey Hits 46% in Emmy Supporting Actor Race After 12-Point SurgePelphrey's price climbed from 34% to 46% in 72 hours with no confirmed catalyst, while Kalshi and Polymarket remain seven points apart on fair value.Aug 22, 2026