About This Market
Traders give Above 52 about a 38.5% chance. 52 follows at 22.5%, 50 follows at 13.5%, and 51 follows at 10.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Live prediction market odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Above 52 about a 38.5% chance. 52 follows at 22.5%, 50 follows at 13.5%, and 51 follows at 10.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiAbove 52
38.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Above 52: 38.5¢ on Kalshi; 52: 22.5¢ on Kalshi; 50: 13.5¢ on Kalshi; 51: 10.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, Above 52 at 38.5¢ implies about a 38.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.