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Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Mike Mazzei (R)92¢1.09xKalshiCyndi Munson (D)8¢12.50xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Mike Mazzei (R) about a 92.2% chance. Cyndi Munson (D) follows at 8.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Mike Mazzei (R) about a 92.2% chance. Cyndi Munson (D) follows at 8.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oklahoma Governor Election Winner set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence state policies and party dynamics in the region, particularly in the context of national political trends.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MM
Mike Mazzei (R)
92%
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket94¢
Kalshi1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
CM
Cyndi Munson (D)
8%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket8¢
Polymarket US12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
8.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Mike Mazzei (R)

Mike Mazzei is the Republican nominee for Oklahoma governor, having secured the nomination in August 2026. He served as an Oklahoma State Senator from 2004 to 2016, including a decade as chair of the Senate Finance Committee. Mazzei's extensive experience in state finance and policy positions him as a leading candidate in the gubernatorial race.

About Cyndi Munson (D)

Cyndi Munson is the Minority Leader of the Oklahoma House of Representatives, representing District 85. She became the first Asian-American woman elected to the Oklahoma Legislature in 2015. Munson has announced her candidacy for governor of Oklahoma in the 2026 election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Mike Mazzei (R)

92.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oklahoma pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Oklahoma. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Oklahoma Governor Election?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in Oklahoma can impact predictions.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is the significance of the Oklahoma Governor Election?

The outcome of this election could affect local governance and legislative priorities in Oklahoma. It may also have implications for the broader political landscape, especially in the lead-up to national elections.

What does the Oklahoma Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Oklahoma Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Mike Mazzei (R): 92.0¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cyndi Munson (D): 8.5¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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