About This Market
Traders give $28B about a 17.4% chance. $26B follows at 4.0%, $24B follows at 1.7%, and $18B follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 24.9 percentage points.
Kraken IPO closing market cap above
Live prediction market odds for Kraken IPO closing market cap above. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Compare all 7 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give $28B about a 17.4% chance. $26B follows at 4.0%, $24B follows at 1.7%, and $18B follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 24.9 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Polymarket
Predict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:19:01.193515425Z
The market resolves on January 1, 2027, when Kraken's IPO closing market cap is determined.
The closing market cap is calculated based on Kraken's stock price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding at the end of the trading day.
Polymarket and PredictIt are the platforms currently tracking the Kraken IPO closing market cap event.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are $28B: 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 29.9¢ on Predict.fun; $26B: 6.3¢ on Polymarket, 1.6¢ on Predict.fun; $24B: 2.7¢ on Polymarket, 0.8¢ on Predict.fun; $18B: 3.3¢ on Polymarket, 1.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.