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Live prediction market odds for MN-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MN-02 House winner?

Listed Apr 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 20, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hubNew

Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
Open the hub

Best price · tap to trade

Matt Little (D)96¢1.04xPolymarket USEric Pratt (R)5¢20.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Matt Little (D) about a 95.3% chance. Eric Pratt (R) follows at 4.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.

Traders give Matt Little (D) about a 95.3% chance. Eric Pratt (R) follows at 4.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-02 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflects broader political trends in the region.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
ML
Matt Little (D)
95%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%95¢96¢5¢6¢
EP
Eric Pratt (R)
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.2%4¢6¢94¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.4%4¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Matt Little (D)

Matt Little is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party candidate for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. He previously served as a Minnesota State Senator from 2017 to 2021, representing District 58, and was the Mayor of Lakeville from 2012 to 2016. Little is an attorney specializing in medical malpractice and personal injury law, and he has been active in local politics and community service.

About Eric Pratt (R)

Eric R. Pratt is a Republican member of the Minnesota Senate, representing District 54. He previously served as a member of the Prior Lake-Savage School Board from 2000 to 2012. With extensive experience in banking risk management and a history of public service, he has been a significant figure in Minnesota politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$52K
Leader

Matt Little (D)

95.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MN-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MN-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MN-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the MN-02 House race odds?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Local issues and national political climate also play significant roles.

How does the MN-02 House race affect Congress?

The outcome can shift the majority in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative priorities. A change in party control could lead to significant policy changes.

When is the MN-02 House election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle for federal offices.

What does the MN-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MN-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Matt Little (D): 95.5¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.5¢ on Polymarket US; Eric Pratt (R): 5.2¢ on Kalshi, 4.4¢ on Polymarket, 4.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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