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Live prediction market odds for Michigan Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Michigan Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Jocelyn Benson (D)93¢1.08xKalshiJohn James (R)8¢12.50xKalshiIndependent0¢Polymarket

About This Market

Traders give Jocelyn Benson (D) about a 92.2% chance. John James (R) follows at 7.1% and Independent follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.2 percentage points.

Traders give Jocelyn Benson (D) about a 92.2% chance. John James (R) follows at 7.1% and Independent follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.2 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Michigan Governor Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race will be pivotal as it could influence state policies and party control in the region.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JB
Jocelyn Benson (D)
92%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket93¢
Kalshi1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.3%92¢93¢7¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
92.0%92¢93¢7¢8¢
JJ
John James (R)
7%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi11.90x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.7%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
I
Independent
—
—
Polymarket1000.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Jocelyn Benson (D)

Jocelyn Benson is the current Secretary of State of Michigan, a position she has held since 2019. Prior to this, she served as the dean of Wayne State University Law School from 2012 to 2016. She is a candidate for governor of Michigan in the 2026 election.

About John James (R)

John James is a U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th Congressional District and the Republican nominee for governor, having won the August 4, 2026 primary. He previously served two terms in Congress, representing a district north of Detroit, and ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020. James is a West Point graduate and former U.S. Army aviation officer who led his family's logistics business, James Group International.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.2%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Jocelyn Benson (D)

92.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Michigan Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Michigan Governor Election?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors that shape the odds. Additionally, voter turnout and major state issues can significantly impact the election outcome.

When is the Michigan Governor Election scheduled?

The Michigan Governor Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is critical as it aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What does the Michigan Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Michigan Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Jocelyn Benson (D): 92.3¢ on Kalshi, 92.0¢ on Polymarket; John James (R): 7.7¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket; Independent: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Democrats Favored at 84% to Win Michigan Governor Race in 2026Duggan's exit collapsed his 53-32 head-to-head lead over Benson, lifting Democratic odds 15 points to 84% on both Kalshi and Polymarket.May 23, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 98%

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan in 2026?WONPre-event: 18%Michigan Republican Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 92%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONJocelyn Benson (D)
Pre-event: 98%

Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONJohn James (R)
Pre-event: 18%

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONJohn James (R)
Pre-event: 92%