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PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for North Carolina Senate Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

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North Carolina Senate Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Roy Cooper (D)95¢1.05xKalshiMichael Whatley (R)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Roy Cooper (D) about a 94.8% chance. Michael Whatley (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Roy Cooper (D) about a 94.8% chance. Michael Whatley (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the North Carolina Senate Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and impact key legislation moving forward.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
RC
Roy Cooper (D)
95%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket96¢
PredictIt94¢
Kalshi1.06x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PredictItPredictIt
93.0%93¢94¢6¢7¢
MW
Michael Whatley (R)
6%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket6¢
PredictIt8¢
Kalshi16.39x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.1%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PredictItPredictIt
8.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Roy Cooper (D)

Roy Cooper is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, having served as the state's governor from 2017 to 2025. Before his tenure as governor, he was the state's attorney general for four terms, overseeing a significant decrease in crime. His extensive experience in state leadership and law enforcement positions him as a seasoned candidate for the Senate.

About Michael Whatley (R)

Michael Whatley is a Republican politician and attorney from North Carolina. He served as Chair of the Republican National Committee from 2024 to 2025 and as Chair of the North Carolina Republican Party from 2019 to 2024. Whatley is currently the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate seat in North Carolina, aiming to succeed retiring Senator Thom Tillis.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
United States Congress
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Roy Cooper (D)

94.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
United States Congress
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds in the North Carolina Senate Election?

Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter sentiment play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and key issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.

How do prediction markets work for elections like this one?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of events, such as elections. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

When will the North Carolina Senate Election take place?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States, where multiple federal and state offices are contested.

What does the North Carolina Senate Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest North Carolina Senate Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Roy Cooper (D): 94.5¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on PredictIt; Michael Whatley (R): 6.1¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?WONPre-event: 99%

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?WONPre-event: 99%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONMichael Whatley (R)
Pre-event: 99%

Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONRoy Cooper (D)
Pre-event: 99%
Smart Money Feed
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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $245K lifetime bet $640 on No at 95¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $109K lifetime sold $665 of No at 95¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $73.3K lifetime bet $3.1K on No at 94¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $54.2K lifetime bet $1K on Yes at 95¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $73.3K lifetime bet $5.6K on No at 94¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Trade on Kalshi →