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Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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New Mexico Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Deb Haaland (D)94¢1.06xKalshiGreggory D. Hull (R)8¢12.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Deb Haaland (D) about a 94.2% chance. Greggory D. Hull (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Deb Haaland (D) about a 94.2% chance. Greggory D. Hull (R) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the New Mexico Governor Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This election is pivotal as it could influence state policies and party dynamics in a key battleground state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DH
Deb Haaland (D)
94%
Kalshi94¢
Polymarket96¢
Kalshi1.07x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.9%92¢94¢6¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
GD
Greggory D. Hull (R)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi11.90x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢8¢92¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Deb Haaland (D)

Deb Haaland is a Democratic candidate for New Mexico governor in the 2026 election. She served as U.S. Secretary of the Interior from 2021 to 2025, becoming the first Native American to lead a Cabinet department. Haaland's extensive experience in federal leadership and her commitment to addressing New Mexico's challenges position her as a significant contender in the gubernatorial race.

About Greggory D. Hull (R)

Gregg Hull is the Mayor of Rio Rancho, New Mexico, a position he has held since 2014. Before entering public service, he was the President and CEO of Certified Packing & Crating, Inc., a logistics and packaging company. His extensive experience in business and local governance has established him as a prominent figure in New Mexico politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Deb Haaland (D)

94.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the New Mexico Governor Election scheduled?

The New Mexico Governor Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

What factors could influence the outcome of the New Mexico Governor Election?

Factors such as voter turnout, campaign strategies, and key issues like the economy and public safety will play a crucial role. Additionally, national political trends may also impact local voter sentiment.

Why is the New Mexico Governor Election considered important?

The election is significant as it can shift the balance of power in state governance. Outcomes could affect legislation on critical issues and influence future elections in the region.

What does the New Mexico Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest New Mexico Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Deb Haaland (D): 92.9¢ on Kalshi, 95.5¢ on Polymarket; Greggory D. Hull (R): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 97%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-06-02

WONDeb Haaland (D)
Pre-event: 97%