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Live prediction market odds for NY-09 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NY-09 House winner?

Listed Sep 18, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hubNew

Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
Open the hub

Best price · tap to trade

Yvette Clarke (D)99¢1.01xKalshiJoel Anabilah-Azumah (R)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Yvette Clarke (D) about a 97.3% chance. Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give Yvette Clarke (D) about a 97.3% chance. Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of New York's 9th Congressional District race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout leading up to the election day.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
YC
Yvette Clarke (D)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.7%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.5%96¢99¢1¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.8%96¢98¢2¢4¢
JA
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US4¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi28.57x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.1%0.8¢4¢97¢99.2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.5%1¢4¢96¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Yvette Clarke (D)

Yvette Clarke is the current U.S. Representative for New York's 9th Congressional District, serving since 2007. She previously served on the New York City Council from 2002 to 2007. Clarke's extensive tenure in Congress and her strong electoral history underscore her prominence in New York politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$92K
Leader

Yvette Clarke (D)

97.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NY-09 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NY-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will the winner of NY-09 be determined?

The winner of New York's 9th Congressional District will be decided on November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election for the House of Representatives.

What factors influence the odds for the NY-09 House race?

Odds for the NY-09 House race are influenced by campaign activities, polling data, and voter turnout. These elements can shift as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the NY-09 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NY-09 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on developments in the race.

What does the NY-09 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NY-09 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Yvette Clarke (D): 97.7¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R): 2.1¢ on Kalshi, 2.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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