2026 California Governor Election
Live prediction market odds for 2026 California Governor Election. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2026 California Governor Election.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2026 California Governor Election. This election will determine the state's leadership and influence policy decisions on critical issues such as climate change, housing, and healthcare.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Xavier Becerra | Yes |
Ethan Agarwal | No result |
Option F | No result |
Option G | No result |
Option H | No result |
Option I | No result |
Option J | No result |
Option K | No result |
Option L | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Rick Caruso is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Polymarket USIf Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California Governor Election this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
The election is set for November 3, 2026. Voters will decide who will lead California for the next term.
Key issues such as economic recovery, public safety, and environmental policies are likely to shape voter preferences. Additionally, candidate popularity and campaign strategies will play a significant role.
Prediction markets aggregate bets on various outcomes, providing insights into public expectations and candidate viability. Shifts in odds can indicate changing perceptions as the election date approaches.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
| No result |
Option N | No result |
Option O | No result |
Option P | No result |
Option Q | No result |
Option R | No result |
Option S | No result |
Option T | No result |
Option U | No result |
Option V | No result |
Option W | No result |
Option X | No result |
Option Y | No result |
Option Z | No result |
Other | No result |
Alex Padilla | No |
Antonio Villaraigosa | No |
Betty Yee | No |
Butch Ware | No |
Chad Bianco | No |
Ché Ahn | No |
Daniel Mercuri | No |
Elaine Culotti | No |
Eleni Kounalakis | No |
Eric Swalwell | No |
Kamala Harris | No |
Katie Porter | No |
Kyle Langford | No |
Leo Zacky | No |
Matt Mahan | No |
Michael Younger | No |
Nicole Shanahan | No |
Rick Caruso | No |
Rob Bonta | No |
Stephen Cloobeck | No |
Steve Hilton | No |
Tom Steyer | No |
Toni Atkins | No |
Tony Thurmond | No |
