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Live prediction market odds for TX-09 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket US / Polymarket

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TX-09 House Election Winner

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Alex Mealer (R)84¢1.19xPolymarket USthe Democratic Party18¢5.56xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Alex Mealer (R) about a 83.0% chance. the Democratic Party follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Traders give Alex Mealer (R) about a 83.0% chance. the Democratic Party follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Polymarket and Polymarket US are tracking the winner of the TX-09 House Election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced after the polls close on November 4, 2026, and is influenced by candidate campaigns and voter turnout leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AM
Alex Mealer (R)
83%
Polymarket US84¢
Polymarket83¢
Polymarket US1.19x84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
83.0%83¢84¢16¢17¢
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
TD
the Democratic Party
18%
Polymarket US18¢
Polymarket19¢
Polymarket US5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
18.0%17¢18¢82¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Alex Mealer (R)

83.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TX-09 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the TX-09 House Election market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, when official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the TX-09 House Election winner?

Polymarket and Polymarket US are the platforms monitoring this election market.

What factors influence the odds for the TX-09 House Election winner?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, voter turnout, and polling leading up to the election date.

What does the TX-09 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TX-09 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Alex Mealer (R): 83.0¢ on Polymarket, 83.0¢ on Polymarket US; the Democratic Party: 18.0¢ on Polymarket, 18.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trader up $220K lifetime sold $633 of Yes at 86¢

6d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →