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Live prediction market odds for WA-08 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket US / Polymarket

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WA-08 House Election Winner

2026-11-05

Best price · tap to trade

Kim Schrier (D)92¢1.09xPolymarket USSpencer Meline (R)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Kim Schrier (D) about a 95.2% chance. Spencer Meline (R) follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.3 percentage points.

Traders give Kim Schrier (D) about a 95.2% chance. Spencer Meline (R) follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Polymarket US are tracking the WA-08 House Election Winner for the upcoming midterm elections. The market resolves based on the official results of the election held on November 5, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KS
Kim Schrier (D)ARB
95%
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
92.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.3%96¢98¢2¢4¢
SM
Spencer Meline (R)ARB
4%
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.3%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Kim Schrier (D)

95.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: WA-08 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the WA-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the WA-08 House Election Winner market?

The market resolves on November 5, 2026, coinciding with the midterm elections.

Which platforms are tracking the WA-08 House Election Winner?

Polymarket and Polymarket US are the platforms monitoring this election market.

What factors influence the odds for the WA-08 House Election Winner?

Odds are influenced by campaign events, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

What does the WA-08 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WA-08 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Kim Schrier (D): 98.3¢ on Polymarket, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US; Spencer Meline (R): 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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