Live prediction market odds for Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give Before 2027 about a 5.0% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Before 2027 about a 5.0% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the question of whether Satoshi will move any Bitcoin by 2027. This event is pivotal as it could influence market sentiment and the perceived value of Bitcoin, given Satoshi's significant holdings and the mystery surrounding their intentions.
Before 2027
5.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Satoshi Nakamoto is the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, holding an estimated 1 million BTC. Their Bitcoin remains untouched, and any movement could signal changes in market dynamics.
Market conditions, regulatory changes, and technological developments in the cryptocurrency space could all impact Satoshi's decision. Additionally, public sentiment and speculation may also play a role.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the likelihood of specific outcomes, with prices reflecting collective expectations. As new information emerges, odds can fluctuate based on perceived probabilities.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Before 2027: 5.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
