Anna Kelly's Press Secretary Odds Halve as Fox Names Ferguson

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Will Anna Kelly Be the Next White House Press Secretary? Her Odds Fell to 8%

Anna Kelly, a White House principal deputy press secretary, has not been named to the top job, and her price in the Next White House Press Secretary? market fell from about 15% to 8% over three days, as of Nov. 11. Fox News reported on Nov. 10 that Trump is closing in on a pick, is leaning toward a man, and views Ben Ferguson as a frontrunner. The report followed Trump publicly offering the job to UFC CEO Dana White, then calling it a joke.

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Next White House Press Secretary?

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi, Polymarket US and PredictIt.

Anna KellyIn this story

7%

KalshiBest price14.29x7¢Polymarket US14.29x7¢PredictIt8.33x12¢

Ben Ferguson

41%

KalshiBest price4.76x21¢Polymarket US4.55x22¢PredictIt1.25x80¢

Scott Jennings

11%

KalshiBest price9.09x11¢Polymarket US8.33x12¢PredictIt7.69x13¢

Hogan Gidley

7%

KalshiBest price14.29x7¢Polymarket US14.29x7¢

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The 8% mark is the lowest price in the three-day window, with no rebound off that low. The post has been vacant since Katie Zacharia was ousted on Oct. 16 after five days.

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What Moved Anna Kelly's Press Secretary Price: The Fox Report and the Dana White Episode

The heavier development is the Fox News report on Nov. 10. A source told Fox that Trump is leaning toward a man, and that Ferguson is a frontrunner, though Trump is "not sold." Scott Jennings, another name in circulation, was described as unlikely: "I don't think it will happen." A stated preference for a man cuts directly against Kelly, a female deputy, regardless of her standing inside the press office. The Washington Times also reported Trump is getting closer to a choice.

The Dana White episode came first. Trump posted on Truth Social that he had offered White the job, then said he was "only kidding." White declined the offer on Nov. 9, according to the BBC. The Independent reported that a new favorite emerged in other markets after the White flop, with Danielle Alvarez moving to the front.

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The counter-case is simple: Kelly remains the deputy, no source rules her out, and a reported lean is not an announcement. Trump being "not sold" on Ferguson leaves the field open.

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Are There Polls for the Next White House Press Secretary?

No public polls surfaced for this race, and polling would not decide it anyway: Trump makes the appointment alone. The 8% price reflects trader expectations about one man's decision, not a vote or survey. Other names floated include Steven Cheung, Matthew Boyle, Ari Fleischer and Katie Miller, and the live field is tracked on the Next White House Press Secretary odds page.

The next milestone is an official announcement. A naming of Ferguson or anyone other than Kelly would likely push her price toward zero. The reversal signal would be a report that Trump is reconsidering his lean toward a man, or that Kelly is being elevated from the deputy role.