Chiefs' Chances of Landing Kyle Pitts Fall to 2% as Deadline Passes
1 venue5%Up3 ptsfrom 2% when published, 1 day ago
- Traders have nearly written off a Pitts move to Kansas City after Atlanta held him through the trade deadline.
Kyle Pitts Was Not Traded to the Chiefs Before the Nov. 10 Deadline
No. Kansas City has not acquired Kyle Pitts, and he was not traded by the NFL's 4 p.m. ET deadline on Nov. 10, 2026. He remains with the Atlanta Falcons in a four-tight-end rotation alongside Charlie Woerner, Nick Muse and Austin Hooper. No Chiefs trade for him has been reported, and the Falcons' decision to keep him closed the in-season trade window.
The Kansas City outcome in Kalshi's "Kyle Pitts's Next Team" market fell from 8% to 2% over three days around the deadline, a drop of roughly 6 percentage points. On Nov. 12, 2% is also the period low.
Live market odds
1 venueKyle Pitts's Next Team
Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.
Kansas CityIn this story
5%Stays with Atlanta or Retires
99%Washington
3%Tampa Bay
3%
New to Kalshi? Get a $55 trading bonus
Code PRED55. New users only. Eligibility restrictions and terms apply.
The sequence ran fast. On Monday, Nov. 9, Atlanta sent safety Jessie Bates to the Jaguars for a 2nd- and 5th-round pick. Early Tuesday, The Athletic's Josh Kendall reported that Pitts was the most obvious remaining trade candidate and that the Falcons had listened to offers, a view echoed by BloggingDirty, which put his playing time at about 59% of snaps. Heavy.com noted the team had already hinted at a move through reduced usage in a four-tight-end rotation. Then 4 p.m. passed without a deal, and the Kansas City price fell toward the floor.
The on-field case for a change was visible. In the Week 9 loss to the Bengals in Madrid on Nov. 8 (34-17), Pitts caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards, extending a stretch RotoBaller described as a low fantasy floor.
What Could Still Move Kansas City's Odds for Pitts
The confirming path is simple: Pitts finishes the season in Atlanta's tight-end rotation with no reported Chiefs interest. Kalshi's companion outcome, "Stays with Atlanta or Retires," sits at 92% on the live Kalshi market, consistent with that read.
A reversal would require a reported change in Pitts's status, and in-season trades are now closed. Contract terms also weigh against a quick exit: Pitts signed a three-year, $54 million extension that the Falcons announced on June 29, 2026, which Chiefs coverage at the time said removed him from the 2027 free-agent pool.
Kansas City's past link to Pitts was speculative. An April 2026 proposal floated the 29th overall pick, and FanSided argued in May for a tag-and-trade, both framing him as a Travis Kelce successor. The extension ended the tag route, and the Chiefs' tight end room now runs through Kelce on a one-year deal, Noah Gray, Jared Wiley, Jake Briningstool and John Michael Gyllenborg (IR).
The market resolves Dec. 1, 2026, and the sources identify no milestone before then that could reopen a trade. Live prices for every outcome sit on the Kyle Pitts next team market page.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Related news
Free Trading Tools
View allCompare fees across Kalshi, Polymarket & PredictIt.
Find fair probabilities with the overround removed.
See if a trade has positive EV before you enter.
Convert American, decimal & implied probability.
Combined odds and payouts for multi-leg bets.
Your real take-home after fees and taxes.