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News AnalysisKyle PittsKansas City ChiefsAtlanta FalconsNFL trade deadlineKalshi

Chiefs' Chances of Landing Kyle Pitts Fall to 2% as Deadline Passes

November 12, 20262 min readJoseph Francia, Market Analyst
Kansas CityKalshi

5%Up3 ptsfrom 2% when published, 1 day ago

  • Traders have nearly written off a Pitts move to Kansas City after Atlanta held him through the trade deadline.
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Kyle Pitts Was Not Traded to the Chiefs Before the Nov. 10 Deadline

No. Kansas City has not acquired Kyle Pitts, and he was not traded by the NFL's 4 p.m. ET deadline on Nov. 10, 2026. He remains with the Atlanta Falcons in a four-tight-end rotation alongside Charlie Woerner, Nick Muse and Austin Hooper. No Chiefs trade for him has been reported, and the Falcons' decision to keep him closed the in-season trade window.

The Kansas City outcome in Kalshi's "Kyle Pitts's Next Team" market fell from 8% to 2% over three days around the deadline, a drop of roughly 6 percentage points. On Nov. 12, 2% is also the period low.

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Kyle Pitts's Next Team

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.

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The sequence ran fast. On Monday, Nov. 9, Atlanta sent safety Jessie Bates to the Jaguars for a 2nd- and 5th-round pick. Early Tuesday, The Athletic's Josh Kendall reported that Pitts was the most obvious remaining trade candidate and that the Falcons had listened to offers, a view echoed by BloggingDirty, which put his playing time at about 59% of snaps. Heavy.com noted the team had already hinted at a move through reduced usage in a four-tight-end rotation. Then 4 p.m. passed without a deal, and the Kansas City price fell toward the floor.

The on-field case for a change was visible. In the Week 9 loss to the Bengals in Madrid on Nov. 8 (34-17), Pitts caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards, extending a stretch RotoBaller described as a low fantasy floor.

Consensus prediction market price

What Could Still Move Kansas City's Odds for Pitts

The confirming path is simple: Pitts finishes the season in Atlanta's tight-end rotation with no reported Chiefs interest. Kalshi's companion outcome, "Stays with Atlanta or Retires," sits at 92% on the live Kalshi market, consistent with that read.

A reversal would require a reported change in Pitts's status, and in-season trades are now closed. Contract terms also weigh against a quick exit: Pitts signed a three-year, $54 million extension that the Falcons announced on June 29, 2026, which Chiefs coverage at the time said removed him from the 2027 free-agent pool.

Kansas City's past link to Pitts was speculative. An April 2026 proposal floated the 29th overall pick, and FanSided argued in May for a tag-and-trade, both framing him as a Travis Kelce successor. The extension ended the tag route, and the Chiefs' tight end room now runs through Kelce on a one-year deal, Noah Gray, Jared Wiley, Jake Briningstool and John Michael Gyllenborg (IR).

The market resolves Dec. 1, 2026, and the sources identify no milestone before then that could reopen a trade. Live prices for every outcome sit on the Kyle Pitts next team market page.

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