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News AnalysisJosh SweatArizona CardinalsNFL trade deadlineDallas CowboysKalshi

Where Will Josh Sweat Sign Next? Latest News

Updated November 12, 2026First published November 10, 20263 min readJoseph Francia, Market Analyst
ArizonaKalshi

94%unchanged from 94% when updated, 11 hours ago

  • Traders see Josh Sweat staying in Arizona as a strong favorite now that the trade deadline has passed with no deal.
KalshiTrade YES at 96¢
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Josh Sweat Next Team

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.

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Background

The Josh Sweat Next Team market on Kalshi asks which team will hold the Cardinals edge rusher after the NFL trade deadline, with resolution set for Dec. 1, 2026. The deadline passed at 4 p.m. ET on Nov. 10 with Sweat still in Arizona. Arizona reportedly wanted a second-round pick, while Dallas, the most-linked suitor, was reportedly willing to give only a third-rounder. Chicago, Green Bay, San Francisco, Buffalo and New England were listed as longer shots. Sweat signed a four-year, $76.4 million deal in March 2025, with none of his money guaranteed after 2026.

The outcome that matters most is "Arizona," which pays if Sweat stays. With the deadline closed, the reported in-season trade route is gone, and the sources name no dated event before Dec. 1 that would move him. Any remaining probability for other teams reflects uncertainty the sources do not explain.


Nov. 12, 2026: Will Josh Sweat Be Traded? Cardinals Keep Him Past Deadline

Josh Sweat Stays With the Cardinals After the Nov. 10 Trade Deadline

No, Josh Sweat was not traded. The Arizona Cardinals kept the edge rusher through the NFL trade deadline at 4 p.m. ET on Nov. 10, 2026, according to Yardbarker. The club also held on to safety Budda Baker. The reported sticking point was price. Arizona wanted a second-round pick, and Dallas, Sweat's most-linked suitor, was reportedly willing to give only a third-rounder.

The value gap held up to the deadline. Covers.com reported that Arizona stuck to its asking price. Before the deadline, Sportsnaut relayed an insider view that the Cowboys could land Sweat for a third-round pick. Jerry Jones gave little sign he would go higher. AZCentral described the deadline as passing quietly for Arizona, and HEAVY reported the Cardinals' final call to keep both players. Neither team has confirmed the pick figures. All of them come from media reports.

The Kalshi market priced in the outcome quickly. Arizona's implied probability in the Josh Sweat Next Team market rose from 75% to 94% over three days, a gain of about 19 percentage points.

Arizona's Odds in the Josh Sweat Next-Team Market

The move follows the deadline passing without a deal. Arizona traded as low as 68% during the period, which puts the full recovery at about 26 percentage points.

Arizona stood at 94% on Nov. 12, 2026, with the market set to resolve on Dec. 1. The sources do not explain the remaining 6%.

What Could Still Change Sweat's Status in Arizona

With the deadline closed, the reported in-season trade route is gone. The sources name no dated event before the Dec. 1 resolution that would move Sweat to another team. On Nov. 9, Sweat said "I ain't worried about that" and added that the decision "ain't even up to me."

Dallas's reported third-round offer was the clearest public bid. Readers can follow further pricing on the Josh Sweat next team odds page.


Earlier Updates

Nov. 10, 2026: Will Josh Sweat Be Traded? Cardinals' Second-Round Ask Holds Him

Arizona60% → 68%▲8

As of Nov. 10, 2026, Josh Sweat had not been traded ahead of the 2 p.m. MST deadline. Sports Illustrated reported that insiders Jordan Schultz, Albert Breer and Josina Anderson all considered the trade noise legitimate, with Anderson flagging financial hurdles. Sweat said after the Nov. 8 loss to Seattle, "I ain't worried about that... That ain't even up to me."

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