Will the Colts Trade Jonathan Taylor? Latest News

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Jonathan Taylor Next Team

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.

IndianapolisIn this story

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Consensus prediction market price

Since the first article's chart, October 24 to today

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Background

The market asks which team Jonathan Taylor will be on after the NFL trade deadline at 4 p.m. ET on Nov. 10, 2026. That deadline has passed without a deal. The Colts (2-7) held him after interim GM Ed Dodds took over from the fired Chris Ballard. Taylor is signed through 2028 and never requested a trade. The Giants pulled their offer, and the Broncos balked at the price.

The Indianapolis outcome pays if Taylor is still a Colt, and every other team is a separate outcome splitting the remaining probability. A stay needed only a quiet deadline, while a move needed a buyer to meet the price and the Colts to agree. The Colts wanted a first-round pick or equivalent, and no offer matched it. Reports say any Taylor trade would more likely come in the offseason under a permanent GM.

Nov. 12, 2026: Is Jonathan Taylor Being Traded? Colts Held Him at the Deadline

Is Jonathan Taylor Going to Be Traded? Not After the Colts Held Him at the Nov. 10 Deadline

No. The Indianapolis Colts (2-7) let the 4 p.m. ET trade deadline pass on Nov. 10, 2026 without moving Jonathan Taylor, and the Kalshi "Jonathan Taylor Next Team" market now has Indianapolis at 98%. Per Tom Pelissero, Indianapolis turned down multiple offers of second-round picks and would only consider a "blockbuster" return, Yahoo Sports reported. ESPN's Dan Graziano and Jeremy Fowler reported that the Colts wanted a first-round pick or equivalent, and that offer never came, according to Bleacher Report.

Indianapolis climbed from 28% to 98% by Nov. 12, a gain of roughly 70 percentage points in three days.

The bids were real. The Giants pulled their offer after the Colts rejected a second- and fifth-round package, and Fowler reported the Denver Broncos "gave it a run" before balking at Indianapolis' asking price. The Colts did sell elsewhere: wide receiver Josh Downs went to the Kansas City Chiefs on deadline day, following the Oct. 27 trades of Quenton Nelson to Seattle and DeForest Buckner to San Francisco. Taylor, the 27-year-old three-time Pro Bowler, stayed put with 656 rushing yards and eight touchdowns through nine games.

How the Indianapolis Next Team Price Moved From 28% to 98%

The Indianapolis contract moved from 28% to 98%, a gain of about 70 percentage points. The jump lines up with the deadline passing without a Taylor deal. With the market resolving on Dec. 1, 2026 and the trade window closed, the remaining 2% reflects little public sign of a path for Taylor to change teams before then.

What Could Reverse It: An Offseason Taylor Trade Once the Colts Have a Permanent GM

The bigger question extends past this market's resolution. Per NFL insider Jordan Schultz, the organization concluded that any Taylor trade would more likely come in the offseason, once a permanent general manager replaces interim GM Ed Dodds, who took over after Chris Ballard was fired Oct. 19, Colts Wire reported. Owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon reportedly preferred keeping Taylor, and Taylor never requested a trade.

The milestone to watch is that GM hire. A new front office could reopen talks with teams such as Denver that showed interest this fall, or keep Taylor as a building block. Taylor is signed through 2028 on a two-year, $44 million extension, which gives any buyer cost control and gives Indianapolis no pressure to sell cheaply. For now, the Jonathan Taylor next team market points to Indianapolis through the 2026 season.

Earlier Updates

Nov. 9, 2026: Giants Pull Jonathan Taylor Offer; Colts-Stay Odds Hit 32%

Indianapolis24% → 32%▲8

On Nov. 9, 2026, the New York Giants pulled their offer for Jonathan Taylor after the Colts rejected it, with coach John Harbaugh confirming the withdrawal and saying "things do change" but that nothing was imminent. Taylor's postgame comments after the Nov. 8 loss to Dallas, in which he said goodbye to Indianapolis, pointed the other way, leaving him still a Colt with the Nov. 10 trade deadline approaching.

Nov. 7, 2026: Will Jonathan Taylor Be Traded? Colts Stay Odds Double to 40%

Indianapolis20% → 40%▲20

On Nov. 6, 2026, SI's Albert Breer reported that the Giants are a serious suitor for Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, though New York is not yet offering the first-round pick or multi-pick package Indianapolis wants. Breer said Denver and Minnesota appeared less inclined to trade for Taylor. Taylor, meanwhile, said he is eager for a verdict on his future.

Nov. 5, 2026: Will Jonathan Taylor Be Traded? Giants Buzz Meets Colts Standstill

Indianapolis14% → 26%▲12

On Nov. 5, 2026, Jonathan Taylor was still a Colt, with trade talks at a standstill. Ian Rapoport reported that no offer had matched Indianapolis's McCaffrey-style price, and the Colts had already turned down a 2027 second-round pick plus another pick. Coach Shane Steichen said Taylor's workload would not be reduced against Dallas.

Nov. 2, 2026: Will the Vikings Trade for Jonathan Taylor? Odds Fall to 14%

Minnesota43% → 14%▼29

On Nov. 2, 2026, Bleacher Report, citing SI's Albert Breer, reported that the Giants and Vikings had been the most aggressive teams pursuing running backs on the trade market over the prior couple of weeks, while the Colts told teams they would have to be "blown away" to trade Jonathan Taylor. Pro Football Rumors reported that Indianapolis had already turned down a 2027 second-round pick plus another pick.

Oct. 31, 2026: Colts Willing to Trade Jonathan Taylor, Talks Active, Stay Odds Halve

Indianapolis34% → 17%▼17

On Oct. 31, 2026, ESPN and NFL Network reported that the Colts are willing to trade Jonathan Taylor and that talks are active and ongoing. CBS Sports named the Broncos, Packers, Vikings, Giants and Seahawks as interested teams. Indianapolis turned down an offer of a 2027 second-round pick plus another pick, according to Tom Pelissero, and is seeking a premium return.

Oct. 29, 2026: Will the Colts Trade Jonathan Taylor? Stay Odds Hit 44%

Indianapolis22% → 44%▲22

As of Oct. 29, 2026, no Jonathan Taylor trade offer had been reported. Coach Shane Steichen said Taylor has not requested a trade and that "JT's on our football team," while Adam Schefter reported that owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon does not want Taylor moved, a report the team has not confirmed. Green Bay, Seattle, Minnesota, Denver and the New York Giants have been reported as interested, but no formal offer has surfaced ahead of the Nov. 10 trade deadline.

Oct. 27, 2026: Will Jonathan Taylor Be Traded? Colts Stay Odds Fall to 36%

Indianapolis85% → 36%▼49

On Oct. 25, 2026, Jonathan Taylor had not been traded and the Colts had not decided whether to move him. ESPN reporting, relayed by RealGM, named the Packers, Seahawks, Broncos and Vikings as teams weighing a trade for the running back, a group Bleacher Report also tracked. Indianapolis, now 2-5 under interim personnel head Ed Dodds, has games at Jacksonville and against Dallas before the Nov. 10 deadline, with its deadline strategy still unsettled.