Which Cryptocurrencies Will Have a Positive Return in 2026? Latest News

Live market odds

1 venue

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.

Ripple (XRP)In this story

10%

Kalshi9.09x11¢

Chainlink (LINK)

23%

Kalshi4.35x23¢

Stellar Lumens (XLM)

20%

Kalshi4.76x21¢

Solana (SOL)

16%

Kalshi6.25x16¢

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Compare every venueCents per $1 payout, before fees

Hover the chart for prices over time. Each dot under it is a story update; hover to preview it, click to jump to it.

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Background

This Kalshi market asks which of a group of cryptocurrencies will finish 2026 with a positive return. Each coin is listed as its own contract, including Dogecoin (DOGE) and Ripple (XRP), and Bitcoin and other major tokens are tracked alongside them. The year has been weak for the sector, with XRP and DOGE both trading well below where they began 2026.

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Nov. 2, 2026: XRP's Positive 2026 Odds Hit 14% After $6.3B Binance Hack

Will XRP Have a Positive Return in 2026? Market Odds Rise to 14%

XRP is still unlikely to have a positive return in 2026, but Kalshi's "Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?" market now gives Ripple (XRP) 14%, up from 6%. XRP traded at about $1.25 by Nov. 2, 2026, after the record $6.3 billion Binance hack, according to the DCW Daily Brief.

Over three days, Ripple (XRP) rose 8 percentage points from its period low.

How the Binance Hack Moved the Market

Binance disclosed the $6.3 billion theft late Thursday. On Friday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $643 million, their largest daily outflow since late June, CoinDesk reported. The FBI attributed the attack to North Korea's TraderTraitor group on Saturday. Binance reopened withdrawals on Sunday and says it has covered about 95% of the impacted amount.

The odds still reflect a deeply negative year. FXStreet reports XRP fell 27% in Q1 and 22% in Q2 before posting its first positive quarter, a 43% gain in Q3. The $1.25 level also sits below the 200-week exponential moving average near $1.37, which FXStreet identifies as support. Six US spot XRP ETFs hold about 1.17 billion XRP.

What Could Confirm or Reverse XRP's 2026 Odds

A confirming signal would be XRP holding above the 200-week EMA. Ripple has a fundamental tailwind after the OCC granted final approval for Ripple National Trust Bank on Oct. 26.

The move could reverse if the Binance fallout deepens. Bitcoin was near $78,000 on Monday, CoinDesk reported. Upcoming tests include the Nov. 3 midterm elections, the Nov. 6 jobs report and December Fed hike pricing near 72%. Traders can compare XRP with the other tokens in the 2026 positive-return cryptocurrency market.

XRP traded near $1.25 on Nov. 2, 2026, with the CoinGlass Fear and Greed Index at 38.

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Earlier Updates

Oct. 20, 2026: Dogecoin's Odds of a Positive 2026 Fall to 6% After AI Selloff

Dogecoin (DOGE)30% → 6%▼24

On October 20, 2026, a global AI and chip-stock selloff weighed on crypto markets, with South Korea's KOSPI down about 3.7% and the Nikkei falling more than 1%. Bitcoin dipped to $81,400 as options traders bought downside protection, and altcoins took the sharpest losses. Dogecoin traders repriced its odds of a positive 2026 return amid the broader rotation out of riskier tokens.