Who Will Be the Top Artist on Spotify in 2026? Latest News

Live market odds

2 venues

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi and Polymarket.

Bad BunnyIn this story

97%

PolymarketBest price1.03x96.9¢Kalshi1.02x98¢

Drake

2%

KalshiBest price100.00x1¢Polymarket33.33x3¢

Taylor Swift

1%

PolymarketBest price100.00x1¢Kalshi50.00x2¢

3 others under 1%Show all

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Background

This market asks which artist will be Spotify's top artist of 2026, a title settled by the year-end Spotify Wrapped release in December, with the contract resolving by Dec. 31, 2026. Bad Bunny is the defending champion after taking the 2025 crown from Taylor Swift. Swift and Drake are the other names in the discussion, and Drake's album rollout for ICEMAN drew attention earlier in the year.

The rule that matters most is that only total streams across the 2026 calendar year decide the outcome. Spotify's all-time most-streamed artists list (Swift first, Bad Bunny second, Drake third) and Bad Bunny's record of 38 songs past 1 billion streams measure cumulative history, not 2026 year-to-date totals. A single record day or album rollout counts only as part of the full-year tally.

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Nov. 7, 2026: Bad Bunny Hits 96% to Be Spotify's Top Artist of 2026 After Record

Bad Bunny's Chances of Being Spotify's Top Artist of 2026 Reach 96%

Bad Bunny is the strong favorite to be Spotify's top artist of 2026. Polymarket's "Top artist on Spotify in 2026?" market priced his chances at 96% on Nov. 7, 2026, up about 8 percentage points from 88% three days earlier. He held the title in 2025, and on Nov. 4 he became the first artist with 38 songs past 1 billion Spotify streams. Spotify settles the question with its year-end Wrapped in December.

The rise lifted Bad Bunny's contract from 88%, the lowest price of the three-day window. He enters the final stretch as the defending champion: his 2025 win was his fourth most-streamed-artist title, and it took the crown from Taylor Swift.

What Bad Bunny's Billions Club Record and All-Time Ranking Show

On April 23, Spotify published its first all-time most-streamed artists list, per its newsroom. Taylor Swift ranked first, Bad Bunny second and Drake third, according to the Associated Press. His "Un Verano Sin Ti" is reported as the most-streamed album of all time on the platform.

On Nov. 4, "A Tu Merced" became his 38th song past 1 billion streams, extending his own Billions Club record, ColombiaOne reported. The Weeknd has 31 such songs, Drake 30 and Swift 29. Swift leads the all-time artist ranking, but Bad Bunny has more individual billion-stream tracks than any of them.

Both milestones measure cumulative streaming built over years. Neither one is a 2026 year-to-date ranking, which is the only figure that resolves this market.

When the Top Artist of 2026 Is Decided: Spotify Wrapped in December

Spotify's Wrapped release in December names the year's most-streamed artist. That reveal will either confirm Bad Bunny's position or reverse it, and the contract resolves by Dec. 31, 2026. A 96% implied probability makes him a strong favorite, but it leaves room for the market to move before the official tally. Live pricing for every outcome is on the Top artist on Spotify in 2026 market page. As of Nov. 7, Bad Bunny trades at 96% with Wrapped still ahead.

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Earlier Updates

April 26, 2026: Drake's 'ICEMAN' Hype Lifts His Odds to 24%, but Spotify Says He's Third

Drake16% → 24%▲8

On April 26, 2026, Drake's odds of being Spotify's top artist for 2026 drew attention after his 'ICEMAN' rollout, which included a record 57.8 million streams on April 24. Spotify's all-time ranking released April 23 placed Taylor Swift first, Bad Bunny second and Drake third, with Swift and Bad Bunny's positions reflecting sustained catalog dominance.