Who Will Lead FBS in Rushing Yards This Season? Latest News

Live market odds

3 venues

FBS Regular Season Rushing Yards Leader

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

DeSean BishopIn this story

3%

Polymarket22.22x4.5¢

Nate Sheppard

15%

Polymarket6.54x15.3¢

Kewan Lacy

14%

Polymarket USBest price50.00x2¢Polymarket3.83x26.1¢

Cameron Dickey

2%

Polymarket USBest price100.00x1¢Polymarket22.22x4.5¢

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Background

This market asks which player will lead the FBS in rushing yards over the 2026 regular season. It resolves on December 12, 2026, and the leader is set by the final regular-season rushing totals. Jadan Baugh of Florida was the early leader with 600 yards through four games. Tennessee's DeSean Bishop passed 1,000 yards on Nov. 7 but ranks only about sixth nationally. Other backs listed among the FBS leaders include Dylan Riley of Boise State, Jahiem White of North Texas, Jamal Roberts of Missouri and Jackson Gutierrez of Navy.

The dynamic that matters most is that this is a cumulative-yardage race with a crowded field, so a runner's position in the national table counts for more than milestones or single big games. Missed games, injuries and defensive adjustments can change the order, and the sources do not give the national leader's current yardage, so the gap between candidates is not fully quantified.

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Nov. 8, 2026: DeSean Bishop's Odds of Leading FBS in Rushing Fall to 6%

DeSean Bishop's chance of leading the FBS in rushing yards fell from 16% to 6% on Polymarket's FBS Regular Season Rushing Yards Leader market between Nov. 5 and Nov. 8, even though he passed 1,000 yards against Kentucky on Nov. 7. He ranks only about sixth nationally, with 957 yards through eight games before that game, per FootballDB.

The Tennessee senior passed 1,000 yards in the fourth quarter against No. 7 Kentucky. That made him only the second Tennessee player to post two 1,000-yard seasons, after Johnnie Jones, according to Knox News. The decline was about 10 percentage points, and the 6% price on Nov. 8 is the lowest of the period.

The national table explains why the milestone did not lift his price. Before the Kentucky game, Bishop had 957 yards on 171 carries through eight games (5.6 per carry, 11 touchdowns). That total ranked second in the SEC and about sixth nationally. The 1,000-yard mark includes his Kentucky output. Backs listed among the FBS leaders include Dylan Riley (Boise State), Jahiem White (North Texas), Jamal Roberts (Missouri) and Jackson Gutierrez (Navy).

The price appears to reflect Bishop's distance from the top of a crowded race rather than his production. His per-game log on ESPN includes 220 yards and three touchdowns against Auburn on Oct. 3, plus 159 yards and two scores against Alabama. Those games built the 1,000-yard total but did not move him into first place nationally.

What Could Confirm or Reverse DeSean Bishop's Rushing-Lead Odds

The 1,000-yard milestone is already reflected in the price, since the market fell after Bishop reached it. The next checkpoint is the updated FBS rushing table after Tennessee's next game, which will show whether his Kentucky output narrowed the gap to the backs ranked above him.

A reversal would require Bishop to climb past the five or so rushers ahead of him before the market resolves on Dec. 12. The sources do not give the national leader's yardage, so the size of that gap is not quantified. If Bishop stays around sixth when the rankings update, the 6% price is consistent with his position. A jump into the top three would give traders a reason to reprice him.

Live pricing for every candidate is on the FBS regular season rushing yards leader market page.

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Earlier Updates

Oct. 3, 2026: Jadan Baugh Hits 54% Favorite Odds on 150-Yard-Per-Game Pace

Jadan Baugh23% → 54%▲31

Jadan Baugh, the Florida Gators running back, leads the FBS in rushing yards with 600 through four games and now sits as the prediction market favorite to win the 2026 FBS Regular Season Rushing Yards Leader title. His implied probability has jumped from 23% to 54% over the past three days, a 31-percentage-point re-pricing driven not by a single breakout game but by the accumulating statistical weight of a 150-yards-per-game pace that projects to a season total most competitors cannot match.