Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Argentina Presidential Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 21 outcomes across 3 venuesTraders give Javier Milei about a 43.5% chance. Axel Kicillof follows at 32.5%, Sergio Massa follows at 13.3%, and Patricia Bullrich follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.1 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Predict.funKalshiPolymarketPredict.funBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Mauricio Macri, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketA presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Predict.funA presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
The winner is determined by the official announcement of the candidate who receives the most votes in the presidential election. This outcome is confirmed by the electoral authorities.
Odds are influenced by various factors, including candidate debates, public opinion polls, and major endorsements. As these events unfold, traders adjust their expectations, impacting market prices.
Trading is scheduled to close on October 24, 2027, which is the deadline for placing bets before the election results are finalized. However, the actual election may occur earlier.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Javier Milei: 43.5¢ on Polymarket, 44.3¢ on Predict.fun; Axel Kicillof: 32.5¢ on Polymarket, 32.5¢ on Predict.fun; Sergio Massa: 13.3¢ on Polymarket, 13.7¢ on Predict.fun; Patricia Bullrich: 4.8¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
