Live prediction market odds for BTC price on Aug 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-10
This market resolved on 2026-08-10. $54,500 or above was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the BTC price on August 10, 2026, at 5 PM EDT.
Kalshi is tracking the BTC price on August 10, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Market participants are closely monitoring this event as fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices can be influenced by regulatory changes, market sentiment, and macroeconomic factors.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
$54,500 or aboveWINNER | 99% |
$54,750 or above | 0% |
$55,000 or above | 0% |
$55,250 or above | 0% |
$55,500 or above | 0% |
$55,750 or above | 0% |
$56,000 or above | 0% |
$56,250 or above | 0% |
$56,500 or above | 0% |
$56,750 or above | 0% |
$57,000 or above | 0% |
$57,250 or above | 0% |
$57,500 or above | 0% |
$57,750 or above | 0% |
$58,000 or above | 0% |
$58,250 or above | 0% |
$58,500 or above | 0% |
$58,750 or above | 99% |
$59,000 or above | 0% |
$59,250 or above | 0% |
$59,500 or above | 0% |
$59,750 or above | 0% |
$60,000 or above | 0% |
$60,250 or above | 0% |
$60,500 or above | 0% |
$60,750 or above | 0% |
$61,000 or above | 0% |
$61,250 or above | 0% |
$61,500 or above | 0% |
$61,750 or above | 0% |
$62,000 or above | 99% |
$62,250 or above | 0% |
$62,500 or above | 99% |
$62,750 or above | 99% |
$63,000 or above | 99% |
$63,250 or above | 99% |
$63,500 or above | 99% |
$63,750 or above | 99% |
$64,000 or above | 99% |
$64,250 or above | 1% |
$64,500 or above | 1% |
$64,750 or above | 1% |
$65,000 or above | 1% |
$65,250 or above | 1% |
$65,500 or above | 1% |
$65,750 or above | 1% |
$66,000 or above | 1% |
$66,250 or above | 1% |
$66,500 or above | 1% |
$66,750 or above | 1% |
$67,000 or above | 1% |
$67,250 or above | 1% |
$67,500 or above | 1% |
$67,750 or above | 1% |
$68,000 or above | 1% |
$68,250 or above | 1% |
$68,500 or above | 1% |
$68,750 or above | 0% |
$69,000 or above | 0% |
$69,250 or above | 0% |
$69,500 or above | 0% |
$69,750 or above | 0% |
$70,000 or above | 0% |
$70,250 or above | 0% |
$70,500 or above | 0% |
$70,750 or above | 0% |
$71,000 or above | 0% |
$71,250 or above | 0% |
$71,500 or above | 0% |
$71,750 or above | 0% |
$72,000 or above | 0% |
$72,250 or above | 0% |
$72,500 or above | 0% |
$72,750 or above | 0% |
$73,000 or above | 0% |
$73,250 or above | 0% |
$73,500 or above | 0% |
$73,750 or above | 0% |
$74,000 or above | 0% |
$74,250 or above | 0% |
$54,500 or above
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 54499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Factors include regulatory developments, technological advancements, and overall market trends. Additionally, macroeconomic indicators such as inflation rates and investor sentiment can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Participants place bets on whether Bitcoin will reach certain price thresholds by the specified date. The odds reflect collective expectations based on current market conditions and future forecasts.
This prediction is relevant as it provides insights into long-term market expectations for Bitcoin. Understanding these predictions can help investors make informed decisions based on anticipated price movements.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are $54,500 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $54,750 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi; $55,000 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi; $55,250 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
