Traders give ↓ 62,000 about a 7.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Opinion.
Traders give ↓ 62,000 about a 7.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Opinion.
Prediction markets on Kalshi and Opinion are tracking the Bitcoin price on August 23, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Fluctuations in market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic factors will influence the price predictions leading up to this date.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: BTC price on Aug 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 66999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if, during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date), any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT reaches the price specified in the title in the specified direction — for an "above" market, a final "High" price equal to or greater than that price; for a "below" market, a final "Low" price equal to or less than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
What factors influence Bitcoin price predictions for this date?
Market sentiment, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Additionally, technological advancements and adoption rates play a crucial role in shaping investor expectations.
How do prediction markets determine Bitcoin price odds?
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations of future events. The odds reflect collective sentiment and can change rapidly as new information becomes available.
What is the significance of tracking Bitcoin prices in prediction markets?
Tracking Bitcoin prices in prediction markets provides insights into investor confidence and market trends. These predictions can guide traders and investors in making informed decisions about their cryptocurrency investments.
What does the BTC price on Aug 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest BTC price on Aug 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT odds?
The latest available prices are ↓ 62,000: 7.4¢ on Opinion; $67,000 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $67,250 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $67,500 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.