About This Market
Traders give Mary Peltola (D) about a 99.0% chance. Dan Sullivan (R) follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US.
Dan Sullivan (R)
Live prediction market odds for Dan Sullivan (R). Compare prices across Polymarket US.
Traders give Mary Peltola (D) about a 99.0% chance. Dan Sullivan (R) follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Alaska. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Odds are influenced by polling data, public approval ratings, and potential challengers in the upcoming election. Key developments in Sullivan's political career may also impact market perceptions.
The market allows participants to speculate on whether Dan Sullivan will run for re-election. Prices fluctuate based on news events and shifts in public opinion.
Trading for this market is scheduled to close on January 15, 2027. This deadline does not necessarily coincide with the election date but marks the end of trading activity.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Mary Peltola (D): 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Dan Sullivan (R): 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.