Deportations in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Deportations in 2026?. Compare prices across .
This market has closed on Nov 13, 2026. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Kalshi are tracking deportation numbers for the year 2026.
Prediction markets on Kalshi are tracking deportation numbers for the year 2026. The outcome will be influenced by immigration policies, enforcement strategies, and political climate leading up to that year.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Above 200,000WINNER | Yes |
Above 300,000WINNER | Yes |
Above 400,000WINNER | Yes |
Above 425,000WINNER | Yes |
Above 450,000WINNER | Yes |
Above 500,000 | No |
Above 600,000 | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.
Deportation numbers are influenced by changes in immigration policy, enforcement priorities, and public sentiment on immigration issues. Legislative actions and executive orders can also significantly impact these figures.
Prediction markets set odds based on collective expectations of future events, incorporating various data points such as current policies and expert analyses. Traders buy and sell shares based on their beliefs about the likelihood of specific outcomes.
The year 2026 is significant due to potential changes in administration and the possibility of new immigration reforms. These factors could drastically alter the landscape of deportation practices and enforcement.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
