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Live prediction market odds for GA-12 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket US / Polymarket

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GA-12 House Election Winner

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Republican90¢1.11xPolymarketCeretta Smith (D)11¢9.09xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Republican about a 89.0% chance. Ceretta Smith (D) follows at 9.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Republican about a 89.0% chance. Ceretta Smith (D) follows at 9.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Polymarket US are tracking the winner of the GA-12 House Election. The election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 4, 2026, and odds will fluctuate with campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
R
Republican
single venue89%
—
Polymarket90¢
Polymarket1.11x90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
89.0%89¢90¢10¢11¢
CS
Ceretta Smith (D)
9%
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket11¢
Polymarket9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
9.5%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
9.0%8¢11¢89¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Ceretta Smith (D)

Ceretta Smith is a Democratic candidate for Georgia's 12th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. She served as a Grovetown city councilmember and is a U.S. Army veteran who worked as a medic for nearly a decade. Smith has been active in labor leadership roles with the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE).

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

89.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: GA-12 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the GA-12 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the GA-12 House Election market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

How do odds change for the GA-12 House Election winner?

Odds fluctuate based on campaign activities, polling data, and voter engagement as the election date approaches.

What platforms are tracking the GA-12 House Election winner?

Polymarket and Polymarket US are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What does the GA-12 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest GA-12 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 89.0¢ on Polymarket; Ceretta Smith (D): 9.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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