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Live prediction market odds for Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

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Keisha Lance Bottoms Wins: Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved 2026-05-19

This market resolved on 2026-05-19. Keisha Lance Bottoms was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections.

Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it will determine the party's candidate to challenge the incumbent, impacting the political landscape in Georgia.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Keisha Lance BottomsWINNER
98%98%97%
Michael Thurmond
2%——
Jason Esteves
1%——
Geoff Duncan
0%0%2%
Jason Carter
0%——
Lucy McBath
0%——
Stacey Abrams
0%——
Olujimi Brown
0%——
Ruwa Romman
0%——

Candidate Spotlight

About Keisha Lance Bottoms

Keisha Lance Bottoms is a Democratic politician and attorney, currently running for Governor of Georgia in the 2026 election. She served as the 60th Mayor of Atlanta from 2018 to 2022, leading the city through significant challenges. Her extensive public service experience and leadership in Atlanta make her a prominent candidate in Georgia's gubernatorial race.

About Jason Esteves

Jason Esteves is a Democratic politician and attorney from Atlanta, Georgia. He served as a state senator from 2023 to 2025 and is currently campaigning for the 2026 gubernatorial election. Esteves is relevant to this prediction market as a declared candidate for the Democratic nomination for Georgia governor.

About Geoff Duncan

Geoff Duncan is a Democratic candidate for Georgia governor in the 2026 election. He served as Georgia's lieutenant governor from 2019 to 2023 as a Republican. Duncan is relevant to this prediction market due to his recent party switch and gubernatorial campaign announcement.

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.4%
Platforms3
Candidates9
Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms

98.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Geoff Duncan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Georgia Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Polling data, endorsements, and candidate fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in Georgia can sway voter preferences.

When will the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee be determined?

The nominee will be decided in the primary elections scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to secure their position ahead of the general election.

How does the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee affect the general election?

The chosen nominee will represent the Democratic Party against the Republican incumbent in the general election. Their ability to mobilize voters and address key issues will be pivotal for the party's chances.

What does the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Georgia Democratic Governor nominee odds?

The last available prices are Keisha Lance Bottoms: 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on PredictIt; Michael Thurmond: 1.5¢ on Kalshi; Jason Esteves: 1.1¢ on Kalshi; Geoff Duncan: 0.1¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 83%

Prediction Market Track Record

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?LOSTPre-event: 2%

Prediction Market Track Record

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-19

LOSTGeoff Duncan
Pre-event: 0%

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Bottoms Holds 74% Nomination Odds Despite 30-Point Primary LeadA 9-point market slide conflicts with Bottoms' 40% primary polling and $2.21M raised, pointing to general-election concerns rather than primary risk.Apr 30, 2026
No price history available