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Live prediction market odds for Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Tom Holland13¢7.69xKalshiJacob Elordi7¢14.29xKalshiWill Smith4¢25.00xKalshi
Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Tom Holland about a 11.5% chance. Jacob Elordi follows at 4.3%, Will Smith follows at 3.0%, and Millie Bobby Brown follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.

Traders give Tom Holland about a 11.5% chance. Jacob Elordi follows at 4.3%, Will Smith follows at 3.0%, and Millie Bobby Brown follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global event, focusing on the most searched actor. This event reflects public interest and cultural trends, influencing how celebrities are perceived and their marketability in the entertainment industry.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TH
Tom Holland
12%
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket12¢
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%10¢13¢87¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.0%12¢12¢88¢88¢
JE
Jacob Elordi
4%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%2¢7¢93¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.1%3¢6¢95¢97¢
WS
Will Smith
single venue3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
MB
Millie Bobby Brown
single venue2%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
BP
Brad Pitt
single venue0%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Tom Holland

Tom Holland is an English actor and producer. He is best known for portraying Peter Parker/Spider-Man in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. Holland's films have grossed over $9.9 billion worldwide, making him one of the highest-grossing film actors of all time.

About Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi is an Australian actor known for his role as Nate Jacobs in HBO's 'Euphoria' series. He gained prominence with his portrayal of Noah Flynn in Netflix's 'The Kissing Booth' trilogy. Elordi has received nominations for AACTA Awards, BAFTA Film Awards, and People's Choice Awards.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.9%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Leader

Tom Holland

11.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tom Holland is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors is not published during 2026, then all markets will resolve to NO. This market resolves based on the individuals ranked in the "Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors" section of Google’s official Year in Search 2026 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the "Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors" section applies to this event. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Google. Any references Google, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Google and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Google's Year in Search represent?

Google's Year in Search highlights the most popular search queries across various categories, including entertainment. It serves as a barometer for public interest and trends throughout the year.

How is the most searched actor determined?

The most searched actor is determined by analyzing search data from Google, reflecting the volume of searches for various actors. This data is aggregated and reported annually, showcasing shifts in public interest.

Why do prediction markets focus on this event?

Prediction markets focus on this event as it captures cultural zeitgeist and public sentiment towards celebrities. The outcomes can impact marketing strategies and the future projects of the actors involved.

What does the Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search odds?

The latest available prices are Tom Holland: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.0¢ on Polymarket; Jacob Elordi: 4.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.1¢ on Polymarket; Will Smith: 3.0¢ on Kalshi; Millie Bobby Brown: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Historical Track Record

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Tom Holland's Year in Search 2026 Odds Fall to 12% After $2Holland dropped from 21% to 12% in three days. Bettors believe his mid-year search peak is already fading, with no Q4 catalyst yet in view.Sep 11, 2026