About This Market
Traders give Below 36% about a 53.5% chance. Below 35.5% follows at 37.5%, Below 35% follows at 22.5%, and Below 34.5% follows at 15.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 9 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give Below 36% about a 53.5% chance. Below 35.5% follows at 37.5%, Below 35% follows at 22.5%, and Below 34.5% follows at 15.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 38%, then the market resolves to Yes.
In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Below 36%: 53.5¢ on Kalshi; Below 35.5%: 37.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.