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Live prediction market odds for How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

Above 5811¢9.09xKalshiAbove 629¢11.11xKalshiAbove 649¢11.11xKalshi
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 58 about a 9.8% chance. Above 62 follows at 8.1%, Above 64 follows at 7.2%, and Above 55 follows at 6.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Above 58 about a 9.8% chance. Above 62 follows at 8.1%, Above 64 follows at 7.2%, and Above 55 follows at 6.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking how many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act. This vote could impact legislative priorities and party dynamics, making it a crucial moment in the political landscape.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
A5
Above 58
10%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket9¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%8¢11¢89¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
A6
Above 62
8%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%7¢9¢91¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.2%8¢8¢92¢92¢
A6
Above 64
7%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%4¢9¢91¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.8%8¢8¢92¢92¢
A5
Above 55
7%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢11¢89¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
A6
Above 60
7%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%5¢10¢90¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Above 58

9.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Clarity Act?

The Clarity Act is proposed legislation aimed at providing clearer guidelines on specific political processes. Its passage could reshape how certain policies are implemented.

Why does the number of Senators voting matter?

The number of Senators voting for the Clarity Act will determine its likelihood of passing. A higher vote count can indicate broader bipartisan support or party alignment.

What factors influence the voting outcome?

Factors influencing the voting outcome include party leadership, public opinion, and lobbying efforts. Additionally, upcoming elections may affect Senators' decisions based on their constituents' views.

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Above 58: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.5¢ on Polymarket; Above 62: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.2¢ on Polymarket; Above 64: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 7.8¢ on Polymarket; Above 55: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Clarity Act Got 49 Senate Votes, One Short of 50The Senate voted 49-50 against the Clarity Act on Sept. 15. Three Republican defections joined unified Democratic opposition to sink the bill one vote short of a basic majority.Sep 18, 2026Clarity Act Got 49 Votes. Why Would It Ever Get 55?Only 49 senators backed the Clarity Act procedurally, short of even a simple majority. The 'Above 55' outcome has fallen from 50% to 10%.Sep 16, 2026Clarity Act 60-Vote Odds Double to 52% as Media Calls Vote DeadThe 'Above 60' outcome jumped from 23% to 52% in three days. Polymarket prices it at 63%; Kalshi sits at 40%.Sep 14, 2026Clarity Act 'Above 58' Hits 35% as Democrats Stay Silent on Revised TextThe Sept. 10 revision cites 114 Democratic requests, yet no Democrat has endorsed the updated text ahead of the Sept. 15 cloture vote.Sep 12, 2026