When is the Idaho Senate election?

The Idaho Senate election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

What factors influence the odds for the Idaho Senate winner?

Factors influencing the odds include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and prevailing political issues in Idaho. Polling data and voter turnout predictions also play a significant role.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What does the Idaho Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Idaho Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Jim Risch (R): 92.6¢ on Kalshi, 94.2¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on PredictIt; David Roth (D): 0.3¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Idaho Senate winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Idaho Senate winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Jim Risch (R) at 93.4¢ implies about a 93.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.