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Live prediction market odds for MA-01 2026 Democratic House nominee. Compare prices across Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDPolymarket

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Richard Neal Wins: MA-01 2026 Democratic House nominee

Resolved 2026-11-03

This market resolved on 2026-11-03. Richard Neal was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Polymarket and Polymarket US are tracking the 2026 Democratic House nominee for Massachusetts' 1st congressional district.

Polymarket and Polymarket US are tracking the 2026 Democratic House nominee for Massachusetts' 1st congressional district. This nomination is crucial as it will influence the party's strategy and competitiveness in the upcoming elections, especially in a pivotal district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

1 platform
Candidate
Polymarket
Richard NealWINNER
100%
Jeromie Whalen
1%

Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates2
Winner

Richard Neal

100.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MA-01 2026 Democratic House nominee

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Jeromie Whalen wins the Democratic nomination to contest the 2026 MA-01 House election. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MA-01 Democratic nominee?

Odds are influenced by candidate announcements, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local political dynamics and national party support play significant roles.

When is the election for the MA-01 Democratic nominee?

The primary election for the MA-01 Democratic nominee is scheduled for September 2026. The general election will follow on November 3, 2026.

How does the MA-01 district historically vote?

The MA-01 district has historically leaned Democratic, with the party holding the seat for several election cycles. Voter demographics and local issues can impact election outcomes.

What does the MA-01 2026 Democratic House nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available MA-01 2026 Democratic House nominee odds?

The last available prices are Richard Neal: 100.0¢ on Polymarket; Jeromie Whalen: 0.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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