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Live prediction market odds for Maine Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

2026-06-09

Best price · tap to trade

Nirav Shah52¢1.92xKalshiTroy Jackson31¢3.23xKalshiHannah Pingree18¢5.56xKalshi
Compare all 11 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Nirav Shah about a 52.8% chance. Troy Jackson follows at 31.8%, Hannah Pingree follows at 17.5%, and Shenna Bellows follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Traders give Nirav Shah about a 52.8% chance. Troy Jackson follows at 31.8%, Hannah Pingree follows at 17.5%, and Shenna Bellows follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Maine Democratic Governor nominee is being tracked on Kalshi and PredictIt. The outcome will influence the state's political landscape and could impact future legislative priorities and party dynamics in Maine.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
NS
Nirav Shah
53%
Kalshi52¢
PredictIt54¢
Kalshi1.92x52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
51.5%51¢52¢48¢49¢
PredictItPredictIt
54.0%45¢54¢46¢55¢
TJ
Troy JacksonARB
32%
Kalshi31¢
PredictIt49¢
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%28¢31¢69¢72¢
PredictItPredictIt
34.0%33¢49¢51¢67¢
HP
Hannah Pingree
single venue18%
Kalshi18¢
—
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
SB
Shenna Bellows
single venue3%
Kalshi3¢
—
Kalshi29.41x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.6%2¢3¢97¢98¢
AK
Angus King III
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi71.43x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.2%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPredictItPredictIt

Candidate Spotlight

About Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson is a Democratic politician from Allagash, Maine, who served as President of the Maine Senate from 2018 to 2024. He is currently running for governor of Maine in the 2026 election. Jackson's extensive legislative experience and leadership roles make him a significant contender in the gubernatorial race.

About Hannah Pingree

Hannah Pingree is a Democratic candidate for Maine governor in the 2026 election. She served as Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives from 2008 to 2010 and directed the Governor's Office of Policy Innovation and the Future from 2019 to 2025. Her gubernatorial campaign focuses on expanding access to affordable housing and healthcare, addressing the rising cost of living, and building strong communities.

About Shenna Bellows

Shenna Bellows is the current Secretary of State of Maine, a position she has held since January 2021. Prior to this, she served two terms in the Maine Senate from 2016 to 2020. She is currently running for the Democratic nomination for governor in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

About Angus King III

Angus King III is a Democratic candidate for the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. He founded Peaks Renewables, a renewable energy company, and is the son of U.S. Senator and former Maine Governor Angus King. His candidacy is relevant as he seeks to succeed term-limited Governor Janet Mills.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms2
Candidates11
Leader

Nirav Shah

52.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Shenna Bellows wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Maine Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising capabilities are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and party unity play significant roles in shaping the market.

When is the election for the Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

The election for the Maine Democratic Governor nominee is scheduled for June 9, 2026. This date marks a crucial point in the state's political calendar.

How do prediction markets determine the likelihood of candidates?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices fluctuate as new information becomes available, reflecting the changing perceptions of each candidate's chances.

What does the Maine Democratic Governor nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Maine Democratic Governor nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Nirav Shah: 51.5¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on PredictIt; Troy Jackson: 29.5¢ on Kalshi, 34.0¢ on PredictIt; Hannah Pingree: 17.5¢ on Kalshi; Shenna Bellows: 2.6¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Troy Jackson Favored at 50% to Win Maine Democratic Governor PrimaryA ranked-choice pact with Bellows and Pingree pools 53% of first-choice votes behind Jackson, who holds only $225K cash on hand against Shah's $428K.May 30, 2026Troy Jackson Hits 38% on Prediction Markets Despite Polling at Just 12%A three-candidate ranked-choice alliance gives Maine's #3 polling candidate a plausible path to consolidate 31% of progressive first-preference votes.May 26, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?WONPre-event: 99%

Prediction Market Track Record

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTTroy Jackson
Pre-event: 1%

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

Resolved

2026-08-08

LOSTShenna Bellows
Pre-event: 1%