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Live prediction market odds for MI-12 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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MI-12 House winner?

Listed Sep 18, 2026 · Updated Sep 19, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hubNew

Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
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Best price · tap to trade

Rashida Tlaib (D)99¢1.01xKalshiJames Hooper (R)2¢50.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Rashida Tlaib (D) about a 98.0% chance. James Hooper (R) follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Rashida Tlaib (D) about a 98.0% chance. James Hooper (R) follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-12 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the results of the general election in Michigan's 12th congressional district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
RT
Rashida Tlaib (D)
98%
Kalshi99.1¢
Polymarket99¢
Kalshi1.01x99.1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.8%96¢99.1¢0.9¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.2%98¢99¢2¢2¢
JH
James Hooper (R)
0.95%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi62.50x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.2%0.8¢2¢98¢99.2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.7%0.4¢1¢99¢99.6¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Rashida Tlaib (D)

Rashida Tlaib is the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 12th Congressional District. She became the first Muslim woman to serve in the Michigan Legislature in 2008. Tlaib is recognized for her advocacy on environmental justice and economic equity.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$22K
Leader

Rashida Tlaib (D)

98.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-12 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MI-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the MI-12 House election?

The MI-12 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election for congressional seats across the United States.

How do prediction markets determine the winner of the MI-12 House race?

Prediction markets determine the winner based on the official election results announced after the polls close. Odds fluctuate based on candidate polling, campaign events, and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

What platforms are tracking the MI-12 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MI-12 House race. They provide real-time odds reflecting market sentiment on the potential candidates.

What does the MI-12 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-12 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Rashida Tlaib (D): 97.8¢ on Kalshi, 98.2¢ on Polymarket; James Hooper (R): 1.2¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

Democratic nominee for Senate in Michigan in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Democratic nominee for Senate in Michigan in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTRashida Tlaib (D)
Pre-event: 0%