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Live prediction market odds for MO-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MO-07 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Republican97¢1.03xKalshiMissi Hesketh (D)4¢25.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Republican about a 86.7% chance. Missi Hesketh (D) follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.5 percentage points.

Traders give Republican about a 86.7% chance. Missi Hesketh (D) follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-07 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the results of the general election in Missouri's 7th congressional district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
R
Republican
87%
Kalshi97¢
—
Polymarket96¢
Kalshi1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
79.0%61¢97¢3¢39¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%93¢96¢4¢7¢
MH
Missi Hesketh (D)
5%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US4¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.2%1¢9¢91¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.4%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Missi Hesketh (D)

Missi Hesketh is a Democratic candidate for Missouri's 7th Congressional District in the 2026 election. She previously served as the mayor of Forsyth, Missouri, and was the Democratic nominee for this district in 2024. Hesketh has over 20 years of experience as an educator and advocates for policies such as opposing Project 2025 and promoting automatic voter registration.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread15.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

86.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MO-07 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MO-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MO-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the MO-07 House election?

The MO-07 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election day in the United States.

How will the winner of the MO-07 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the total votes cast in Missouri's 7th congressional district. The candidate with the most votes at the end of the election will be declared the winner.

Which platforms are tracking the MO-07 House election markets?

Polymarket and Kalshi are currently tracking the markets for the MO-07 House election. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.

What does the MO-07 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MO-07 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 79.0¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket; Missi Hesketh (D): 5.2¢ on Kalshi, 4.4¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Burlison's MO-07 Odds Fall 14 Points After Missouri RedistrictingMarkets price Burlison's MO-07 general election at 82%, down from 96% in three days, while Kalshi sits at 78% and Polymarket at 85%.Sep 30, 2026