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Live prediction market odds for New Jersey Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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New Jersey Senate winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Cory Booker (D)98¢1.02xKalshiJustin Murphy (R)2¢50.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Cory Booker (D) about a 97.5% chance. Justin Murphy (R) follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Cory Booker (D) about a 97.5% chance. Justin Murphy (R) follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the New Jersey Senate winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate, impacting key legislation and national policies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
CB
Cory Booker (D)
98%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket97¢
PredictIt99¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%98¢98¢2¢2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.0%98¢99¢1¢2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.6%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PredictItPredictIt
98.0%98¢99¢1¢2¢
JM
Justin Murphy (R)
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket3¢
PredictIt2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.9%2¢2¢98¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.2%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Cory Booker (D)

Cory Booker is the current U.S. Senator from New Jersey, serving since 2013. Before his tenure in the Senate, he was the 38th Mayor of Newark from 2006 to 2013. As a senator, he has been a leading advocate for criminal justice reform and economic opportunity.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
United States Congress
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Cory Booker (D)

97.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New Jersey Senate winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Jersey for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
United States Congress
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from New Jersey. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the New Jersey Senate race?

Polling data, candidate fundraising, and endorsements play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout predictions can impact market perceptions.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment about the candidates?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective insights and expectations of participants, reflecting real-time sentiment. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or emerging news about candidates.

What is at stake in the New Jersey Senate election?

Control of the Senate is at stake, which can affect the passage of legislation on critical issues. A change in party representation could also influence judicial appointments and executive actions.

What does the New Jersey Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest New Jersey Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Cory Booker (D): 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.6¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on PredictIt, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Justin Murphy (R): 1.9¢ on Kalshi, 3.2¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on PredictIt, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Booker Favored to Hold NJ Senate Seat as Market Splits 93% vs. 5%Kalshi and Polymarket disagree by 88 points on the same race. No scandal, challenger, or polling shift explains a 45-point aggregate drop in 72 hours.Jul 12, 2026